KY, MS etc. Results Thread

[NOVA Green]

Is there any realistic possibility Hood wins in Mississippi tonight?

It's a sincere question; I'm not familiar with the state.

No

Thank you!

More of a question of the margins and where the swings occurred than the end results of the race at this point, especially considering other states such as AL with US-SEN election coming up, etc as sneak previews for 2020 GE Elections....

[7,052,770]

MS----Rankin just dumped now 58% in 64-35 R with a + 11k R.

That's actually a strong performance for Hood, 13 points ahead of Hillary in Reeves's home county. If he'd done that everywhere, he would have won. Very interesting dynamic in the Jackson metro area.

[libertpaulian]

Yeah, Hood's done.  Time to start carving his political epitaph.

I wonder how Brandon Presley would have done...

[Adam Griffin]

Counties in green = where 80% or more of precincts are reporting:



There are 5 decent swathes/areas where votes are outstanding:

1) black belt (meh, hardly anybody there)
2) uber-white MS that's hood's home turf
3) jackson metro (rankin and hinds will prob come close to cancelling each other out)
4) part of the white gulf (harrison and jackson are 75% in)
5) the columbus area

[Zaybay]

Hood is going to lose, but TBH, that was heavily expected.

[Torrain]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1191922588227952641

[Gass3268]

Democrats have now flipped Delaware County, PA and Loudon County, VA at the local level.

https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/1191917764581175298?s=20

[Pericles]

Impressive for Hood that it's closer than the Senate race given Reeves is not as flawed of a candidate as Hyde-Smith and that Senate result was pretty close for MS anyway.

[Del Tachi]

Tishomingo County fully reported (ancestral Blue Dog/Hood turf) and Hood is +11 over Clinton and +7 over Espy. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

SN cant say that this will be a 2016 election and it wont be. It will be a 2008-12 Map again. The only thing that saved GOP in 2010 were that the Dem Govs in MI, PA and Wiz were term limited out. This time, in 2018, GOP govs were term limited out

[Annatar]

DeSoto county fully in on CNN, Reeves +23, Cindy Hyde Smith was +20.

[morgieb]

Whereabouts are IceSpear/TrendsAreReal/etc? Guess trends aren't real anymore, huh?

[YE]

Assuming Jim Hood loses the governor's race, does anyone see him running for another statewide office?  Or have Republicans just slain their last white southern Democratic dragon in the state who could still mount a competitive campaign?  

The latter. He'll never be heard from again, just like Mike Moore last decade.

Couldn't he be viable in like 10 years when MS is a more competitive?

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Tishomingo County fully reported (ancestral Blue Dog/Hood turf) and Hood is +11 over Clinton and +7 over Espy. 

Saw somewhere on Twitter that his AG 2015 margin in Tishomingo was something like 25... he's underperforming in rural areas of the state.

Whereabouts are IceSpear/TrendsAreReal/etc? Guess trends aren't real anymore, huh?

KY is an obvious miss (and these dudes deserve to get mocked) but the trends are holding in MS and VA.

https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1191922135649980416

[OSR stands with Israel]

Whereabouts are IceSpear/TrendsAreReal/etc? Guess trends aren't real anymore, huh?

He posted this lol:

I haven't read this thread yet, but since I'm sure at least one person asked where I was, I was at work. Some of us who don't live in Owsley County have to work for a living.

Anyway, I'm of course glad to be wrong and will happily eat crow/eggs. But at least I share embarrassment with all the people who thought Beshear would win in a landslide and actually believed that Targoz poll, lol.

[Oryxslayer]

Assuming Jim Hood loses the governor's race, does anyone see him running for another statewide office?  Or have Republicans just slain their last white southern Democratic dragon in the state who could still mount a competitive campaign?  

The latter. He'll never be heard from again, just like Mike Moore last decade.

Couldn't he be viable in like 10 years when MS is a more competitive?

If that day arrives, it will be because of AA's increasing their share of the electorate, which may not happen because the black belt is shrinking just as much as Jackson is growing. I guess it's getting bluer because whites are also decreasing, but thats slow. When that time comes the dems will want a Stacy Abrams, not the last dixiecrat.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

I think tonight shows us that Democrats can still win in the shallow south (KY) but are pretty much cooked in the deep south (MS). That could make JBE worried as LA is a much more deep south state.

[OSR stands with Israel]

I think tonight shows us that Democrats can still win in the shallow south (KY) but are pretty much cooked in the deep south (MS). That could make JBE worried as LA is a much more deep south state.

The MS results are good news for Bel Edwards, MS is far more of a polarizing state than LA is and Bel Edwards does have incumbency advantage.

[junior chįmp]

"Bevin....never heard of the guy"

https://mobile.twitter.com/JasonSCampbell/status/1191922351346200576

[7,052,770]

Assuming Jim Hood loses the governor's race, does anyone see him running for another statewide office?  Or have Republicans just slain their last white southern Democratic dragon in the state who could still mount a competitive campaign?  

The latter. He'll never be heard from again, just like Mike Moore last decade.

Couldn't he be viable in like 10 years when MS is a more competitive?

Maybe, but I don't think he'll be interested.

[Bojack Horseman]

"Bevin....never heard of the guy"

https://mobile.twitter.com/JasonSCampbell/status/1191922351346200576

Somebody needs to show him this:

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

I think tonight shows us that Democrats can still win in the shallow south (KY) but are pretty much cooked in the deep south (MS). That could make JBE worried as LA is a much more deep south state.

Considering MS has the most racially polarized voting in the country, Hood isn't doing that badly.

[IceSpear]

Whereabouts are IceSpear/TrendsAreReal/etc? Guess trends aren't real anymore, huh?

I mean, mocking the prediction that KY was safe R is of course fair game, but the trends WERE real in this race. Beshear won by about the same margin as he did in 2015 but with far more urban/suburban support and far less rural support.

[Calthrina950]

"Bevin....never heard of the guy"

https://mobile.twitter.com/JasonSCampbell/status/1191922351346200576

Somebody needs to show him this:

Not surprised that the Trumps are already distancing themselves from Bevin. They do not like losers. They will do the same to Rispone if he loses to Edwards in a few weeks.

[lfromnj]

Whereabouts are IceSpear/TrendsAreReal/etc? Guess trends aren't real anymore, huh?

I mean, mocking the prediction that KY was safe R is of course fair game, but the trends WERE real in this race. Beshear won by about the same margin as he did in 2015 but with far more urban/suburban support and far less rural support.

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2019&fips=21&f=1&off=5&elect=0&def=tnd&datatype=county




Taking a screenshot of the trend map because other elections  can affect the trend map.