KY, MS etc. Results Thread

[MT Treasurer]

How will Trump spin this one?

This wasn't about Trump, though it does show Trump rallies aren't huge boosts for his choices.

This was obvious even before this election (WV-SEN 2018, MT-SEN 2018, etc.).

[Suburbia]

I told you a Kentucky Democrat can win in the 2010s and 2020s

[Morning in Atlas]

Thank God.

[Oryxslayer]

So does this mean McConnel can lose

No.

This was a popularity vs polarization race, and popularity won. Polarization will always win in Washington elections, except in the 1% scenarios.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: IN A HUGE UPSET, BESHEAR WILL DEFEAT LORD MATT BEVIN!!!

[DeSantis4Prez]

Where should I look for results? NYT sucks

[InheritTheWind]

🦀🦀🦀 BEVIN IS GONE 🦀🦀🦀

[new_patomic]

Feels like Wasserman may be jumping the gun, but regardless Beshear is within sights of winning and is going to keep it close.

Which is really funny to compare to all the people who saw results from Louisiana and then started screaming that Bevin was bound to win by double digits.

In fairness (myself guilty of this), the opposite happened when Bevin handily defeated Conway out of nowhere in 2015. Clearly Vitter was the inevitable one after that.

Glad to have been wrong then, will be glad now if things hold as they do now.

I definitely don't blame anyone for not feeling confident about Kentucky or thinking Bevin was favored, to be clear.

Whatever else can be said, at least a toxic Governor appears on his way to being kicked out of office, which is most important thing.

[Badger]

Although I screwed up my 2016 presidential prediction like everyone else and yes thought this race was tilt Bevan, I'm going to Crow a little here.

All we ever heard from an overwhelming majority of posters on the Kentucky governor's race thread was how Bevan was a shoe-in, and the only issue was whether it was going to be close win, a comfortable victory, or a walloping worse than four years ago. All this despite. as I repeatedly pointed out to little avail, there was a near complete absence of legit polling in the race, and Bevan had among the worst approval ratings of any governor in the country. And thus to call the race so prematurely against Breshear was, well, grossly premature.

Trends are real, but they sure as hell aren't everything. There, I said it.(Drops mic)

[Zaybay]

Amazing, congrats to Bandit on ditching Bevin!

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

I'm not gonna call it just yet, but it looks pretty near certain Beshear will win this. Quite the blow to Republicans.

[DeSantis4Prez]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: IN A HUGE UPSET, BESHEAR WILL DEFEAT LORD MATT BEVIN!!!

Agreed Wulfric. With 84-85% in I'm saying Beshear will win.

[TheSaint250]

wow

and to think bevin was inevitable and everything

[DeSantis4Prez]

I can't wait to see REP's reaction to this lol

[Tintrlvr]

Where should I look for results? NYT sucks

CNN is the furthest ahead for KY results: https://edition.cnn.com/election/2019

[wbrocks67]

Not sure why people don't think McConnell could lose. He's just as unpopular as Bevin is.

[Brittain33]

Not sure why people don't think McConnell could lose. He's just as unpopular as Bevin is.

Federal vs. state.

[Vern]

This shows you that if you are unpopular you will lose.

[Beet]

Is it too late for Andy Beshear to jump into the presidential race? Beshear 2020.

[Gracile]

McConnell is still going to win in 2020, by the way.

[wbrocks67]

Remember when everyone on Atlas tried saying the Unbeatable Matt Bevin couldn't lose?

[Pericles]

How will Trump spin this one?

This wasn't about Trump, though it does show Trump rallies aren't huge boosts for his choices.

This was obvious even before this election (WV-SEN 2018, MT-SEN 2018, etc.).

Yeah, I haven't just come to this realization. Hopefully the dumb takes that Trump rallies will ensure a Republican victory stop now. Trump rallies have very little effect.

[Badger]

Wow.  Bandit was right.  My apologies to you, Bandit!  I really underestimated you guys.

Bandit was lucky. His predictions Brashear would sweep this were as hackish as all of his other predictions have ever been. He was no more insightful or less lucky than Republican hacks in 2016 predicting a trump win.

[Calthrina950]

One potentially interesting result to wait on in eastern Kentucky: Rowan County is the only eastern Kentucky county not reporting anything yet. It was by far Clinton's best county in eastern Kentucky in 2016; she held on to 37% of the vote there. But it's not typically especially Democratic, voting for Conway only narrowly over Bevin, 49-46, in 2015.

Edit: It's also the home of the infamous Kim Davis.

I asked about this before, and given what we are seeing now, Beshear will definitely win Rowan.

[MT Treasurer]

Not sure why people don't think McConnell could lose. He's just as unpopular as Bevin is.

McConnell is a far more competent candidate than Bevin (tbf, literally everyone is) and will be up for reelection in a presidential year, that’s why.