NV (Emerson) - Trump tied to +2

[Stranger in a strange land]

Having followed every election in Nevada since 2004, I can tell you that Democrats ALWAYS outrun their polls for a few reasons:

1) Many firms (especially lower-cost ones) don't poll in Spanish or poll landlines only
2) A lot of people in NV work odd hours because they work in casinos or some form of entertainment
3) The Reid Machine: possibly the one machine/GOTV operation that actually lives up to the hype, Dems have nothing else like it anywhere in the country