KFF/Cook Political Report Polls Of 4 Key Swing States
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  KFF/Cook Political Report Polls Of 4 Key Swing States
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Author Topic: KFF/Cook Political Report Polls Of 4 Key Swing States  (Read 1548 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: November 07, 2019, 09:42:54 AM »

WISCONSIN
41% definitely/probably for the Dem (31% def, 10% prob)
28% definitely/probably for Trump (22% def, 6% prob)
21% undecided

PENNSYLVANIA
40% definitely/probably for the Dem (33% def, 7% prob)
29% definitely/probably for Trump (23% def, 6% prob)
22% undecided

MINNESOTA
41% definitely/probably for the Dem (32% def, 9% prob)
30% definitely/probably for Trump (24% def, 6% prob)
21% undecided

MICHIGAN
39% definitely/probably for the Dem (33% def, 6% prob)
27% definitely/probably for Trump (21% def, 6% prob)
25% undecided

https://www.kff.org/other/report/blue-wall-voices-project/
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2019, 09:43:19 AM »

After all the bed-wetting, it appears that Trump's standing is really not that good in all 4 of these.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2019, 10:58:14 AM »

After all the bed-wetting, it appears that Trump's standing is really not that good in all 4 of these.

He's unlikely to win them, but Dems can't take it for granted. He could barely hang on and edge out a small EC victory after all. Obviously it's too early to count anything out.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2019, 03:28:53 PM »

After all the bed-wetting, it appears that Trump's standing is really not that good in all 4 of these.

He's unlikely to win them, but Dems can't take it for granted. He could barely hang on and edge out a small EC victory after all. Obviously it's too early to count anything out.

I agree.
With an economy that will more than likely be doing well/good, come election time next year, many will (unfortunately) be crediting the Orange Buffoon and thus will vote for him.
That's why I fear that a "more left-leaning" candidate may not be able to pull-it-off.
If the election is close and Biden can edge-out even a small 1 to 3% more (than say Warren or Bernie) in some critical states, then we can kick that f***** out of the White House.
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LiberalDem19
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« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2019, 02:33:16 AM »

How do they have Michigan and Wisconsin voting to the left of Minnesota, and Pennsylvania being the same as Minnesota?

I know Wolf and Casey won by landslides last time, but they were both incumbents and Tina Smith and Tim Walz were essentially in open seats.
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Hammy
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« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2019, 02:35:15 AM »

Undecideds are way too high for this poll to have any meaning, especially given many definite Trump voters will not admit to it in polls.
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SN2903
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« Reply #6 on: November 11, 2019, 10:58:08 AM »

Michigan looking like could be the state to reelect Trump.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #7 on: November 11, 2019, 11:15:59 PM »

Too many undecideds. I'd say roughly 40% or more in all 4 states will be guaranteed to vote for either Trump or the Democrat come election day 2020.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #8 on: November 11, 2019, 11:36:21 PM »

Michigan looking like could be the state to reelect Trump.

How do you take that from a poll where Trump is losing Michigan by 12 points??
I’m not saying you should take much from these polls at all.  But if you are going to try to draw a conclusion from them, I don’t see how it can be that.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: November 12, 2019, 06:00:49 PM »

Michigan looking like could be the state to reelect Trump.

Trump support is still at 27%, which is in the range in which most politicians do not run for re-election out of a concern that they will be embarrassed in the ensuing election.
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