How the hell is trump ahead in Nevada and down double digits in Michigan according to Emerson??
Because this his how Nevada polls every year. Especially if they don't poll in Spanish, which I assume Emerson does not. The Democrat will end up winning by at least 5-7 points.
From the Nevada poll methodology:
Data was collected using both an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only (n=702) and an online panel provided by Amazon Turk (n=195) and Dynata (n=191).
Pollsters usually mention it when Spanish is an option, so I would also assume Emerson doesn't.