Rate MN-07 for 2020
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Poll
Question: Who will win Minnesota's 7th congressional district in 2020?
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Tilt D/Tossup		  
#5
Tilt R/Tossup		  
#6
Lean R		  
#7
Likely R		  
#8
Safe R		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 103

Author Topic: Rate MN-07 for 2020  (Read 2005 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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E: -2.75, S: -3.83

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« on: November 03, 2019, 02:41:42 PM »
This district has a PVI of R+12. Currently represented by Democrat Collin Peterson, MN-07 contains most of the western, rural part of the state. In 2012, Romney won this district by 9.8%. In 2016, Trump won this district by 30.8%.

Recent Results
2018: D +4.2%
2016: D +5.1%
2014: D +8.5%
2012: D +25.6%
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Woody
SirWoodbury
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2019, 02:46:22 PM »
Likely R.
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For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2019, 02:49:13 PM »
Likely R, though even that might be generous to Peterson.
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Gracile
gracile
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2019, 02:50:19 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2019, 02:53:57 PM by gracile »
Likely R. Peterson's luck could very well run out next year, considering he finally has a credible opponent and his fundraising is pretty abysmal (wondering if he might just retire after all).
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2019, 03:01:28 PM »
Lean R because I’m cautious
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Roblox
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2019, 03:16:10 PM »
Oof accidentally voted likely D. Anyways, Likely R.
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andjey
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2019, 03:19:29 PM »
Pure Tossup
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Ban my account ffs!
snowguy716
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2019, 03:44:18 PM »
Peterson’s got one more in the bag. He knows the farmers all too well.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2019, 04:55:06 PM »
About as Safe R as KY Gov
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LiberalDem19
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2019, 06:18:11 PM »
I said tossup/Tilt R. The PPP poll of Minnesota had Trump winning the 7th by 14 points, and in 2018, Tina Smith only lost the district by 15 points. Peterson is probably gonna outrun the top of the ticket by 20-25 points. Thus the tossup rating, as there are a lot of variables here.

He retires and I'm changing my rating to Safe GOP.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2019, 08:26:41 PM »
Safe R
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538Electoral
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2019, 10:47:20 PM »
It'll flip.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2019, 01:04:56 AM »
Lean R. I don't think he'll lose in a landslide like many seem to think. His overperformance is getting weaker but it's not going to just collapse in 2020.
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Non-consecutive Two Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2019, 05:44:00 AM »
Still Lean D in my book. I know. This is #Bold apparently.
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The Mamdani Virus
S019
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2019, 11:37:13 AM »
Likely R, Peterson is probably done


This moves to Safe R, if he retires
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2019, 01:03:55 PM »
Safe r. He might as well retire
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ponderosa peen 🌲
peenie_weenie
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« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2019, 08:42:06 PM »
I think sans-impeachment there's still ground for Peterson to stand on but with the nastiness that the impeachment inquiry brings there will just be too much anti-Democratic sentiment for him to withstand.

Likely R
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2019, 01:05:24 PM »
So it's a tossup/Tilt D?
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2019, 01:13:41 PM »

Touché, but no. This is still the most likely Democratic seat to flip by far
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2019, 01:26:06 PM »

Well Republicans won’t nominate someone as bad as Bevin
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #20 on: May 08, 2020, 08:01:31 PM »



Nah, muah boi Collin is gonna to go down swinging till the end.
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #21 on: May 08, 2020, 08:02:46 PM »
muh trendz
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Bea O'Problem
ERM64man
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« Reply #22 on: May 08, 2020, 08:04:43 PM »
How would MN-07 be rated if Reepublicans nominated a nobody?
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #23 on: May 08, 2020, 08:37:23 PM »
Lean R. Peresen was able to squeak by in 2016 due to specific circumstances. In 2020, evn though he will certainly outperform Biden by quite a bit, partisanship will likely win out.
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Bea O'Problem
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« Reply #24 on: May 08, 2020, 08:39:59 PM »
What happens if he wins this year and gets a more favorable district in 2022?
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