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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, Senator YE, ON Progressive)
  IA-NYT/Siena: Tight 4-way-race
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Author Topic: IA-NYT/Siena: Tight 4-way-race  (Read 2019 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: November 01, 2019, 04:59:09 am »



https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/01/us/politics/iowa-poll-warren-biden.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2019, 05:00:13 am »

Petementum !
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2019, 05:02:06 am »

Biden in third
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President Pericles
Pericles
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2019, 05:15:23 am »

Oh dear that's close. Really hope Warren wins this, she's the best candidate if and if she loses, regardless of who else wins, Biden will be the nominee.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2019, 05:16:15 am »

It's also a debate qualifying poll (NYT).

+1 for Klobuchar for December.

She has 2/4 now.
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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2019, 05:59:32 am »

Quote
Mr. Biden remains the favorite candidate of older voters, but only 2 percent of respondents under 45 years old said they currently plan to caucus for him.

This is absolutely stunning.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2019, 06:17:05 am »

This is a good poll for Warren, an excellent poll for Sanders and Buttigieg, and a terrible poll for Biden. He really is dropping the ball in these early states, and along with the fact that he's hemorrhaging money, I have doubts that he would even be able to lead an opposition if Warren/Sanders won IA, NH, and NV.
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2019, 06:31:22 am »

I wouldn't be surprised if Pete was the dark horse here, with Sanders in second and Warren third.

Iowa has a track history of voting for underdogs.
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Shadows
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2019, 07:03:49 am »

2/3rd of the voters way they could change their preference & are not fully decided, so the field is very fluid. For Sanders, the positive he has the most committed & least likely to change voters as per this poll & he is also 2nd in the 2nd choice voters.

I don't see any silver lining for Biden. It is very likely that his voters are the least energized & most likely to not turn out. He also has a weak ground game. His numbers among young voters are horrendous. If Biden actually finishes 4th in Iowa & 3rd/4th in NH, he will find a very tough race.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2019, 07:04:33 am »

I wouldn't be surprised if Pete was the dark horse here, with Sanders in second and Warren third.

Iowa has a track history of voting for underdogs.

It would surprise me because of the prevalence of women supporting women candidates in 2018. Pete could surprise but I dont think he gains at warrens expense unless she seriously gaffes.
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riceowl
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2019, 07:07:38 am »


Please elaborate.
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Shadows
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2019, 07:17:10 am »

BTW Sanders is beating Warren among 30-44 & 45-55 voters (& losing badly among 65+) but the interesting part is Warren is beating Sanders among 18-29 voters comfortably which is an anomaly vs national trends. So either she is doing much stronger among young voters in Iowa than other states or if the small sample size of young voters in this poll is too friendly for her, then she may well be 1-2-3% behind Sanders overall.

Either way this is a very close & fluid race. Warren also has incredible 2nd choice numbers including among most of Sanders voters.
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Beat-Em-All Beto
Clinton1996
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2019, 07:30:52 am »

Can someone kamikaze Buttigieg already? The media and rich donors keep propping this guy up and his sanctimonious act is just unbearable.
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Governor R2D2 (Voting for the Not Fascist)
20RP12
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2019, 07:32:44 am »

Can someone kamikaze Buttigieg already? The media and rich donors keep propping this guy up and his sanctimonious act is just unbearable.

Says the Beto supporter.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2019, 07:36:21 am »


You may want to adjust your bifocals and have another look.
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Beat-Em-All Beto
Clinton1996
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2019, 07:37:12 am »

Can someone kamikaze Buttigieg already? The media and rich donors keep propping this guy up and his sanctimonious act is just unbearable.

Says the Beto supporter.
...

Ive been a Warren supporter since the summer. Keep up n!gga
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2019, 07:39:28 am »

New Poll: Iowa President by Siena Research Institute on 2019-10-30

Summary:
Warren:
22%
Sanders:
19%
Buttigieg:
18%
Biden:
17%
Other:
16%
Undecided:
8 %

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Governor R2D2 (Voting for the Not Fascist)
20RP12
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2019, 07:39:58 am »

Can someone kamikaze Buttigieg already? The media and rich donors keep propping this guy up and his sanctimonious act is just unbearable.

Says the Beto supporter.
...

Ive been a Warren supporter since the summer. Keep up n!gga

Your username threw me off and it's early. Sorry!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #18 on: November 01, 2019, 07:43:05 am »

Can someone kamikaze Buttigieg already? The media and rich donors keep propping this guy up and his sanctimonious act is just unbearable.

Agreed - I would like him more if he A) wasn't such a robot and B) got off the whole 'holier than thou' attitude thing.

Sorry, but I find nothing genuine about that guy. Everything comes off scripted and disingenuous
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#Joemala2020
RFKFan68
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« Reply #19 on: November 01, 2019, 07:43:54 am »

Can someone kamikaze Buttigieg already? The media and rich donors keep propping this guy up and his sanctimonious act is just unbearable.

Says the Beto supporter.
...

Ive been a Warren supporter since the summer. Keep up n!gga
Lmao. Im dead.
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Beat-Em-All Beto
Clinton1996
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« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2019, 07:54:33 am »

Can someone kamikaze Buttigieg already? The media and rich donors keep propping this guy up and his sanctimonious act is just unbearable.

Says the Beto supporter.
...

Ive been a Warren supporter since the summer. Keep up n!gga

Your username threw me off and it's early. Sorry!

No problem fam, I used the -a instead of -er so youre fine.

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Autumn Springs
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2019, 08:08:53 am »

The establishment is trying to replace Biden with Buttigieg but they are too stupid to understand that he can't absorb Biden's voters in most states.
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OneJ
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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2019, 08:10:13 am »

Can someone kamikaze Buttigieg already? The media and rich donors keep propping this guy up and his sanctimonious act is just unbearable.

Says the Beto supporter.
...

Ive been a Warren supporter since the summer. Keep up n!gga

lmao
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Clamdick McClaw
HockeyDude
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« Reply #23 on: November 01, 2019, 08:15:52 am »

DROP OUT, BERNIE!
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #24 on: November 01, 2019, 08:19:01 am »


Why Harris is pictured in the graph, but not Yang who got the same percentage as her?

#YangMediaBlackout continues. It's getting shameful at this point.
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