North Carolina 2020 Redistricting
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Author Topic: North Carolina 2020 Redistricting  (Read 86293 times)
lfromnj
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« Reply #650 on: October 25, 2021, 02:41:23 PM »
Quote from: Stuart98 on October 25, 2021, 02:37:08 PM
I imported it into DRA.

Oddly fair 6-8 in 2020 president data, with 9 and 14 very close. Who drew this thing?
Ben Clarke.(D-Fayetville)
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #651 on: October 25, 2021, 02:42:06 PM »
Quote from: Stuart98 on October 25, 2021, 02:37:08 PM
I imported it into DRA.

Oddly fair 6-8 in 2020 president data, with 9 and 14 very close. Who drew this thing?

I dunno, but it is a least-change map almost to a fault: not cutting Wayne, janky cut of Winston Salem, keeping some of the weird Charlotte suburbs cuts.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #652 on: October 25, 2021, 03:32:00 PM »
Quote from: Chap Petersen Democrat on October 25, 2021, 02:41:23 PM
Quote from: Stuart98 on October 25, 2021, 02:37:08 PM
I imported it into DRA.

Oddly fair 6-8 in 2020 president data, with 9 and 14 very close. Who drew this thing?
Ben Clarke.(D-Fayetville)

Ah, so it has no chance of passing.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #653 on: October 25, 2021, 06:10:03 PM »
Quote from: Doctor V on October 25, 2021, 03:32:00 PM
Quote from: Chap Petersen Democrat on October 25, 2021, 02:41:23 PM
Quote from: Stuart98 on October 25, 2021, 02:37:08 PM
I imported it into DRA.

Oddly fair 6-8 in 2020 president data, with 9 and 14 very close. Who drew this thing?
Ben Clarke.(D-Fayetville)

Ah, so it has no chance of passing.
Yes, unfortunately.
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nclib
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« Reply #654 on: October 25, 2021, 11:03:53 PM »
All on the line NC says there is a map that seems to be 12-2. Obviously that would violate the VRA and/or be a dummymander, but what would that even look like?

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1449037318757752834.html
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #655 on: October 25, 2021, 11:07:39 PM »
Quote from: nclib on October 25, 2021, 11:03:53 PM
All on the line NC says there is a map that seems to be 12-2. Obviously that would violate the VRA and/or be a dummymander, but what would that even look like?

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1449037318757752834.html

CMT-9 is something akin to a Laser-eyes partisan twitter nerd would draw. It attempts to carve of charlotte of all seats, and is very aggressive in how it targets the other areas. Besides being illegal, it also fails partisan wise, with  the Charlotte seats being close or Biden wins - so the GOp persuing such a plan would be a fast suicide.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #656 on: October 26, 2021, 12:07:36 AM »
CMT-9 is 100% just bait for public comment .
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #657 on: October 26, 2021, 12:15:49 AM »

I think it's bait for Republicans, lmao. I'm like 80% sure it had 6 Biden districts.
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #658 on: October 26, 2021, 01:05:26 PM »
Legislature plans to vote on maps next week.
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #659 on: October 27, 2021, 10:56:21 AM »


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lfromnj
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« Reply #660 on: October 28, 2021, 01:04:59 PM »


Seems they decided to use the other cluster in the NE.

Other than Wilmington it doesn't seem like anything is really gerrymandered.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #661 on: October 28, 2021, 01:22:16 PM »
Quote from: Chap Petersen Democrat on October 28, 2021, 01:04:59 PM


Seems they decided to use the other cluster in the NE.

Other than Wilmington it doesn't seem like anything is really gerrymandered.

Looks like they gave back one of the black NE seats. 
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lfromnj
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« Reply #662 on: October 28, 2021, 01:30:58 PM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on October 28, 2021, 01:22:16 PM
Quote from: Chap Petersen Democrat on October 28, 2021, 01:04:59 PM


Seems they decided to use the other cluster in the NE.

Other than Wilmington it doesn't seem like anything is really gerrymandered.

Looks like they gave back one of the black NE seats. 

Yeah thats what I said they changed in the NE. The old cluster was a ridiculous non contigious cluster.

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Sol
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« Reply #663 on: October 28, 2021, 01:37:52 PM »
It doesn't do anything partisan-wise but the split of Durham is kind of silly (it's not for VRA reasons).  I guess they're trying to keep incumbents happy, though why they would care what Natalie Murdock and Mike Woodard think is anyone's guess.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #664 on: October 28, 2021, 01:38:29 PM »
« Edited: October 28, 2021, 04:48:07 PM by Chap Petersen Democrat »
Quote from: Sol on October 28, 2021, 01:37:52 PM
It doesn't do anything partisan-wise but the split of Durham is kind of silly (it's not for VRA reasons).  I guess they're trying to keep incumbents happy, though why they would care what Natalie Murdock and Mike Woodard think is anyone's guess.

It helps to keep the Fayetville district logical.

There is a comment in the above tweet screaming its a gerrynander to get a GOP senate district out of Durham lol! The GOP did use some population deviation in the house to get a swing district out of Durham but half of the district is a Trump +20 rural county.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #665 on: October 28, 2021, 01:38:42 PM »
Quote from: Chap Petersen Democrat on October 28, 2021, 01:30:58 PM
Quote from: Mr.Phips on October 28, 2021, 01:22:16 PM
Quote from: Chap Petersen Democrat on October 28, 2021, 01:04:59 PM


Seems they decided to use the other cluster in the NE.

Other than Wilmington it doesn't seem like anything is really gerrymandered.

Looks like they gave back one of the black NE seats. 

Yeah thats what I said they changed in the NE. The old cluster was a ridiculous non contigious cluster.



We’ll see what they do with NC-01 on the congressional map.  Excluding Greenville in exchange for Beaufort was clearly an attempt to bring down the black percentage in the district.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #666 on: October 28, 2021, 01:40:59 PM »
Quote from: Chap Petersen Democrat on October 28, 2021, 01:38:29 PM
Quote from: Sol on October 28, 2021, 01:37:52 PM
It doesn't do anything partisan-wise but the split of Durham is kind of silly (it's not for VRA reasons).  I guess they're trying to keep incumbents happy, though why they would care what Natalie Murdock and Mike Woodard think is anyone's guess.

It helps to keep the Fayetville district logical.

There is a comment in the above tweet screaming its a gerrynander to get a GOP senate district out of Durham lol!

Lol that’s still probably a 67% Biden district at least.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #667 on: October 28, 2021, 01:43:26 PM »


Nvm they changed Wilmington ?
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Sol
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« Reply #668 on: October 28, 2021, 03:13:20 PM »
Quote from: Chap Petersen Democrat on October 28, 2021, 01:43:26 PM


Nvm they changed Wilmington ?

Yeah the predominantly Black areas of central Wilmington are just south of the border there I think, the chop is of northern GOP-leaning suburbs like Wrightsboro.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #669 on: October 29, 2021, 03:27:35 PM »



Never mind seems they don't want to draw the fair map in the NE and are taking the gamble.
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #670 on: October 29, 2021, 03:54:30 PM »
Another potential NC map. This one is labelled CST-13.



There are 10 R seats to 4 D seats.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #671 on: October 29, 2021, 08:13:30 PM »
Southern Coalition, in tandem with alligned groups like NAACP and Common Clause, have pre-emptively filed the expected suit against the redistricting process at a Wake court today.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #672 on: October 29, 2021, 10:14:47 PM »
Quote from: Sol on October 28, 2021, 03:13:20 PM
Quote from: Chap Petersen Democrat on October 28, 2021, 01:43:26 PM


Nvm they changed Wilmington ?

Yeah the predominantly Black areas of central Wilmington are just south of the border there I think, the chop is of northern GOP-leaning suburbs like Wrightsboro.

Well a Democrat did narrowly win the main Wilmington State Senate seat. But the Republicans won it back just last year even though Biden carried the seat. I do think Lee will hold this seat in 2022 but he might go down in 2024.
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #673 on: October 30, 2021, 11:14:28 AM »
Here's my attempt in making a very illegal 11R-3D gerrymander map.



https://davesredistricting.org/join/0c2b4f01-e9e1-4cd6-b67d-25f8e58056a7
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #674 on: October 30, 2021, 11:16:37 AM »
The motto for this gerrymander ought to be: here be dragon tails.
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