UK General Election Prediction Thread

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Almost nothing about this election is predictable at this stage? We have very little idea of what it will look like in any sense; other than that it won't look like the last one.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Almost nothing about this election is predictable at this stage? We have very little idea of what it will look like in any sense; other than that it won't look like the last one.

Not even sure we can count on that. Soul crushing though it may be to contemplate, a near identical seat split (315/260/35/15/other) is very much possible.

Actually that's true, yes. Quite plausible - as plausible as anything else at this stage. Of course the distribution of votes would be different, but...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

That kind of thing has always been encouraged here. Fire away.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Labour's campaign was pretty ropey at the start of the 2017 GE as well, and the government's poll leads were mountainous - much bigger than presently. Calm and order only turned up after the Unite leadership election ended.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

No, you misunderstand his (rhetorical) question. He means that why is it that when Labour lose (or are held to be at risk of losing in) places where they have held for a long time but are now quite different from what they were once (meaning that the lengthy tenure is basically archaeological),* that sort of language gets used, but when this happens to seats long held by other parties things are phrased differently. It's a fair point.

*As he won't mind me pointing out, he even lives in such a place.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Can you please behave yourself?