UK General Election Prediction Thread

[Clyde1998]

Based off the final polls, with greater weight on MRP results, and YouGov's MRP constituency results, I'm going for the following. The range is based on constituencies with a projected majority of less than 5.5% switching hands.

Overall
Great Britain
Con - 355 (315-399)
Lab - 215 (178-245)
SNP - 41 (33-54)
Lib - 15 (8-20)
PC - 4 (4-5)
Grn - 1 (1-1)
Spk - 1 (1-1)
Brx - 0 (0-0)
Oth - 0 (0-1)
Conservative majority of 60 (short by 11 to majority of 148)

Northern Ireland
DUP - 10 (7-10)
SF - 6 (6-8)
SDLP - 2 (0-2)
APNI - 0 (0-3)
UUP - 0 (0-0)

Seats changing hands in central forecast
Con -> Lab (2)
Chipping Barnet
Putney

Con -> SNP (4)
Angus
East Renfrewshire
Gordon
Stirling

Lab -> Con (46)
Ashfield
Barrow and Furness
Bassetlaw
Bedford
Bishop Auckland
Blackpool South
Bolsover
Bolton North East
Bradford South
Bury North
Bury South
Clwyd South
Colne Valley
Crewe and Nantwich
Darlington
Delyn
Derby North
Dewsbury
Don Valley
Dudley North
Gedling
Great Grimsby
Hyndburn
Ipswich
Keighley
Lincoln
Newcastle-under-Lyme
Penistone and Stocksbridge
Peterborough
Rother Valley
Sc**nthrope
Sedgefield
Stockton South
Stoke-on-Trent Central
Stoke-on-Trent North
Stroud
Vale of Clwyd
Wakefield
Warrington South
West Bromwich West
Wolverhampton North East
Wolverhampton South West
Workington
Worsley and Eccles South
Wrexham

Lab -> Lib (1)
Sheffield, Hallam

Lab -> SNP (3)
Glasgow North East
Midlothian
Rutherglen and Hamilton West

Lab -> Speaker (1)
Chorley

Lib -> Con (2)
Eastbourne
North Norfolk

SNP -> Con (1)
Lanark and Hamilton East

SF -> SDLP (2)
Belfast South
Foyle

Speaker -> Con (1)
Buckingham