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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, Senator YE, ON Progressive)
  AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12
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Author Topic: AZ-Emerson College: Biden leads Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg 28-21-21-12  (Read 772 times)
Sorenroy
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« on: October 29, 2019, 12:39:33 pm »

Sample size of 339 likely voters, conducted October 25th to 28th.

Biden 28%
Warren 21%
Sanders 21%
Buttigieg 12%
Yang 5%
Harris 4%
Gabbard 2%
Klobuchar 2%
O'Rourke 2%
Sestak 1%
Bennet 0%
Bullock 0%
Steyer 0%
Booker 0%
Castro 0%
Delaney 0%
Williamson 0%

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/arizona-2020-toss-ups-in-presidential-and-senate-races
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2019, 12:42:42 pm »

Booker's campaign is struggling. Probably won't make it to December debate.
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Shadows
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« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2019, 12:45:34 pm »

Looking into racial breakdowns, Warren leads among white voters with 29%, followed by Biden with 22%, Sanders with 18% and Buttigieg with 16%. Among non-white voters, Biden leads with 38%, followed by Sanders with 26%, Warren with 9% and Yang with 8%.


Warren has to do better with Hispanic voters.. She is 7% ahead of Biden & 11% ahead of Sanders among White voters but is tied with Sanders & down 7% to Biden among all voters.

This is also going to hurt Warren in Nevada as well & maybe California. She is doing very well among White Voters but is completely collapsing among Hispanics & is doing bad with other minority groups.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2019, 01:00:09 pm »

GOP #s:
Trump 88%
Sanford 5%
Weld 4%
Walsh 3%
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2019, 01:51:25 pm »

Strong poll for Mayor Pete.

Anybody but Biden, Bernie, Liz, Kamala, Pete and Yang should just drop out now.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2019, 10:24:58 pm »

LOL Harris below Yang
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bilaps
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2019, 06:15:24 am »

Strong poll for Mayor Pete.

Anybody but Biden, Bernie, Liz, Kamala, Pete and Yang should just drop out now.

So tired of people saying who should be dropping out after every poll.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2019, 01:03:52 pm »
« Edited: October 30, 2019, 02:37:18 pm by ProudModerate2 »

This poll makes me think that the Calif polls showing Biden leading there, are probably correct (versus the ones showing Warren leading).
Not sure though, but maybe?
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The Flying Dulishman
John Dule
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2019, 04:36:29 pm »
« Edited: October 30, 2019, 06:25:34 pm by Smiling John »

This poll makes me think that the Calif polls showing Biden leading there, are probably correct (versus the ones showing Warren leading).
Not sure though, but maybe?

I would not make that extrapolation. California has a lot of densely populated far-left areas that make its electorate significantly different from Arizona's. AZ may be trending left, but culturally it really can't be compared to places like SF or Berkeley. Whatever happens in the Phoenix suburbs this cycle, it won't be very indicative of what to expect in the Bay.
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Kylar
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« Reply #9 on: November 12, 2019, 01:51:01 pm »

Booker's campaign is struggling. Probably won't make it to December debate.
He and Kamala should both drop out before Christmas in my opinion. In my opinion as well, I think Warren still has a play for Arizona here.
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