United Kingdom General Elections: December 12th, 2019

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

  US house race polling seemed to be pretty good last few cycles, maybe UK pollsters could learn from accross the Atlantic.

It's easier to poll 2 way races.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I'm amazed at how many people said both did well.

https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1196911055408115717

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

So the Tories are threatening to use the tools of government to enact retribution against unsympathetic news outlets. Very cool stuff.

And yet the media has overall given Johnson much better coverage than Corbyn.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Lib Dems are 13 in every recent poll. Labour is 31-34. But the Conservatives are 39-46, a much wider range.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

So the Sun took a break from smearing Corbyn as an anti-semite to use actual anti-semites to smear the Labour party?

https://twitter.com/trillingual/status/1203291719707635713

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I'm hoping for some anti-Conservative tactical voting like there just was in Canada.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

It's crazy how large the sample is for that YouGov poll at 105k, but at some point sampling error becomes larger than the statistical error.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I think it’s clear that the Tories will be the largest party. The only real question is wether they have enough to govern with the DUP. If so, they’ll have no problem passing their agenda for the next couple of years.

Well, if it's a large enough majority, there won't be another election until 2024.