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January 24, 2021, 08:05:20 AM

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: Gustaf, afleitch, Hash)
  United Kingdom General Elections: December 12th, 2019 (search mode)
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Author Topic: United Kingdom General Elections: December 12th, 2019  (Read 94388 times)
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jfern
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 49,090


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: November 02, 2019, 11:35:18 PM »

  US house race polling seemed to be pretty good last few cycles, maybe UK pollsters could learn from accross the Atlantic.

It's easier to poll 2 way races.
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jfern
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 49,090


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: November 20, 2019, 02:04:26 AM »

I'm amazed at how many people said both did well.

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jfern
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 49,090


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: November 28, 2019, 06:53:56 PM »

So the Tories are threatening to use the tools of government to enact retribution against unsympathetic news outlets. Very cool stuff.

And yet the media has overall given Johnson much better coverage than Corbyn.
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jfern
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 49,090


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: December 01, 2019, 02:15:37 AM »

Lib Dems are 13 in every recent poll. Labour is 31-34. But the Conservatives are 39-46, a much wider range.
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jfern
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 49,090


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: December 08, 2019, 03:18:57 AM »

So the Sun took a break from smearing Corbyn as an anti-semite to use actual anti-semites to smear the Labour party?

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jfern
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 49,090


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #5 on: December 11, 2019, 04:56:59 PM »

I'm hoping for some anti-Conservative tactical voting like there just was in Canada.
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jfern
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 49,090


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #6 on: December 11, 2019, 06:41:40 PM »

It's crazy how large the sample is for that YouGov poll at 105k, but at some point sampling error becomes larger than the statistical error.
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jfern
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 49,090


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #7 on: December 12, 2019, 01:17:10 AM »

I think its clear that the Tories will be the largest party. The only real question is wether they have enough to govern with the DUP. If so, theyll have no problem passing their agenda for the next couple of years.

Well, if it's a large enough majority, there won't be another election until 2024.
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