United Kingdom General Elections: December 12th, 2019

[KaiserDave]

CON: 39% (-2)
LAB: 33% (+5)
LDEM: 13% (-5)
GRN: 5% (-)
BREX: 4% (+1)
via
@BMGResearch
, 27 - 29 Nov
Chgs. w/ 21 Nov


from westminster

Sorry for lack of tweet or if it's been posted already

[KaiserDave]

Is this a last minute Labour surge or not?

[KaiserDave]

Uncertainty is good for election watchers I suppose.

[KaiserDave]

Not British, but with the exception of 2015 (which broke my heart, I'm a Miliband apologist, if they bring him back I'd be thrilled), Labour always seems to surge at the last second.

[KaiserDave]

A strange little snippet from yesterday - the PM got a hostile response by some voters in Salisbury, but maybe the real question is why he was there (a generally safe Tory seat since forever) in the first place?

As an American I tend not to read into stuff like that, as I could see Trump getting booed in Kentucky if he went to the wrong place. But if in the U.K....

[KaiserDave]

What's the chance of a polling overcorrection from 2017?

[KaiserDave]

I'm sure everyone has heard about the leaked video of Trudeau, Macron, Princess Anne, and the rest gossiping about Trump. Well, the fallout from that video may result in one of the best possible outcomes for Boris, so much so that one has to wonder if his team was involved. Trump 's energy and fury is focused on Trudeau and not meddling in the GE, he leaves early so there is less worries about him making statements of friendship, and Boris is in the video as well, which helps counteract the narrative of him being a puppet of Donald.

I think people are overestimating Trumps impact on the race

[KaiserDave]

Lets hope the Tories can finish this time around, and win a majority.

No, austerity is cancerous.


Also, just food for thought. While predictions right now are putting Tories on 350, predictions one week out in 2017 had Tories on 370. Just some stuff for though.

[KaiserDave]

Lets hope the Tories can finish this time around, and win a majority.

No, austerity is cancerous.


Also, just food for thought. While predictions right now are putting Tories on 350, predictions one week out in 2017 had Tories on 370. Just some stuff for though.

While true, it seems as though the Conservatives have avoided a lot of the bad press that hurt them tremendously in 2017. Not to mention the fact that Corbyn hasn't been getting the sort of beneficial press he had that election too

Corbyn is getting a lot of bad press now, and in many cases rightfully so. But 2017 was hardly a media love-fest for Corbyn.