United Kingdom General Elections: December 12th, 2019

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Just a thought that I had this afternoon:

In the recent Canadian election in Newfoundland, the Liberals lost something like 20%, and only lost one (of seven) seats. The Tories gained most of that, with the NDP gaining only two percent or so. However, the NDP gained the one seat that the Liberals lost. Could we see something like that in some places here? Ie, Labour loses a lot in the popular vote, but not many seats?

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

A Northern Ireland Poll appears!

https://twitter.com/electionmapsuk/status/1194716512411631617?s=21

DUP: 28% (-1)
SF: 24% (-1)
ALL: 16% (-5)
SDLP: 14% (+6)
UUP: 9% (=)

Polling taken 30 Oct to Nov 1, before Hermon dropped out
Changes from early August

https://twitter.com/electionmapsuk/status/1194718137511534592?s=21

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Incidentally, would it be possible to like, ban anyone with a US IP address from posting in this thread or something?

How about you just ignore drivel from Americans you don’t like and let others be?

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Jermey Corbyn is so bad that he makes Ilhan Omar look good compared to him. Corbyn needs to lose in a landslide

Wow, thank you for the insight, Old School Republican, very cool!

Can we please deport people who know nothing about British politics from the thread?

There's a vicious antisemite running for Prime Minister of a country with nuclear weapons. This ceased being solely about the UK a long time ago.

We've already got at least two racists in control of nuclear weapons, so a third won't make much of a difference.

Also, corbyn isn't antisemitic. Doesn't matter how many times you say it, it doesn't make it true.

Meanwhile, if those YouGov polls are.to be believed (yes, yes, grain of salt and all), Corbyn has probably come out ahead. His personal ratings were so low before, after all, he couldn't help but make a good impression.

Good old dead cat bounce.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

If these polls bear fruit, this is one lesson to my fellow Americans in this thread: BERNIE CANNOT UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES BE THE NOMINEE.

We know, duh

Larry Sanders may still be the PM if he gets his seat

*Scrawls on chalkboard*

Here’s how Bernie Larry Sanders can still win. He just needs to persuade the superdelegates MPs that he won the popular vote Oxford East.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

I wouldn’t be shocked to see the Lib Dems underperform popular vote polling while exceeding the number of predicted seat wins at this point. Something like 11% with 26 seats would not surprise me at this point.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Everybody down one point, how on earth does that work??

M E B Y O N   K E R N O W


They will win St Austell and Newquay with 4,200%

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Lucid Talk’s big Northern Ireland poll will be released tomorrow.

https://twitter.com/lucidtalk/status/1202651978268065792?s=21

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Which members of Change UK still on the sinking ship will survive, Soubry, Gapes, or Leslie or None of them?

There will be no CUK Holds.

Heh

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Boris Johnson's ghoulish reaction to the image of the boy in the hospital is about the worst possible story for the Tories in the most critical period of the campaign because it puts the spotlight on the NHS' problems while suggesting that Boris Johnson will do nothing to solve them. Considering that 8-12% of voters remain Undecided and that the Tory lead is ~8 points when Undecideds are taken into account, this could be devastating for the Tories...

Seems like the sort of story that cuts through for a week tbh. I expect the Tories to try to slam a bunch of rats on the table to change the topic. The extent to which they do this will reveal how damaging the story is.

I wish that British polls had undecided numbers.