What numbers would JBE be polling if he were running in a less diverse Red State (user search)
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  What numbers would JBE be polling if he were running in a less diverse Red State (search mode)
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Author Topic: What numbers would JBE be polling if he were running in a less diverse Red State  (Read 1525 times)
Adam Griffin
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« on: October 28, 2019, 09:33:39 AM »

Given that white voters tend to be the most elastic racial group (up and until their political hegemony is threatened), I'd surmise that JBE as an incumbent would be doing as well as he is presently, give or take - though obviously that depends on the political history of the state in question.

I think this would only apply outside of the broader South at this point, though; throughout most of the South, the rough metric of "for every 1 black voter you add, you lose 1 white voter" would still apply (though perhaps less so in places like AR & TN).
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