MS: Hickman Analytics: Hood (D) +4 vs. Reeves (R) in internal

[Calthrina950]

We all know which way the "undecideds" will go. Hood is doomed.

[Calthrina950]

We all know which way the "undecideds" will go. Hood is doomed.

There is no such thing as an "undecided" MS voter. In MS white=Republican and black=Democrat. The only question is turnout of these groups.

True. Hence, why I said what I said. I put "undecideds" in quotation marks to emphasize that these voters are not actually that. They are for Reeves (or for Hood), and almost all of them are for Reeves.

[Calthrina950]

We all know which way the "undecideds" will go. Hood is doomed.

There is no such thing as an "undecided" MS voter. In MS white=Republican and black=Democrat. The only question is turnout of these groups.

True. Hence, why I said what I said. I put "undecideds" in quotation marks to emphasize that these voters are not actually that. They are for Reeves (or for Hood), and almost all of them are for Reeves.

I don't doubt most of these "undecided voters" are gonna end up voting for Reeves when all is said and done, but a good chunk of them are black voters according to that Mason-Dixon poll. I'd say it's far from "almost all" going to Reeves instead of Hood.

This is a valid point. However, the undecideds, taken as a whole, are not a group that is favorable to Hood. And Hood is already sitting at about the percentage that Mike Espy received last year.

[Calthrina950]

We all know which way the "undecideds" will go. Hood is doomed.

Yeah yeah, muh polarization, these races are Titanium R, whatever.

Calthrina won't ever STFO it seems.

I'm not wrong. And you should know by now that I don't take too kindly to this sort of thing. Won't let it faze me though.

[Calthrina950]

We all know which way the "undecideds" will go. Hood is doomed.

Yeah yeah, muh polarization, these races are Titanium R, whatever.

Calthrina won't ever STFO it seems.

I'm not wrong. And you should know by now that I don't take too kindly to this sort of thing. Won't let it faze me though.

Mmmmmhm.

Yes, yes.

[Calthrina950]

We all know which way the "undecideds" will go. Hood is doomed.

Hood has stayed pretty much the same over the past year. Meanwhile, look at the numbers for Reeves as the "undecideds" continue to break...

Well, isn't this a surprise? Not! We saw this with Bredesen, Edmondson, Manchin, Heitkamp, etc. last year. Is it possible that Reeves could win by low double digits? If he did, that would really be a blow. The only gubernatorial race where Democrats might come within 5% at this point is Louisiana. The solace for them is that they will complete their conquest of Virginia's government through taking control of the legislature there.