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October 01, 2020, 03:18:50 am
News: First US presidential debate discussion thread link:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=400306.0

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  2020 Democratic Primary Presidential Predictions
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Author Topic: 2020 Democratic Primary Presidential Predictions  (Read 6093 times)
ElectionAtlas
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« on: October 23, 2019, 07:38:27 am »
« edited: October 23, 2019, 07:42:03 am by Dave Leip »

Thread to link to the 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Predictions.



Compiled 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Map
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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2019, 02:57:29 pm »

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Laki
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« Reply #2 on: November 13, 2019, 12:33:23 pm »

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UBI man good
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« Reply #3 on: January 05, 2020, 04:11:21 pm »

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Laki
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« Reply #4 on: January 17, 2020, 05:49:12 am »

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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2020, 02:06:33 pm »

Could I ask when the cut off point is for predictions please? I ask as the caucuses in Iowa do not open for another six hours or so and having been informed by sources on the ground they expect Sanders to get 30%+, I wanted to change my prediction to reflect this and couldn't, therefore would like to know for future reference?
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bagelman
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« Reply #6 on: February 05, 2020, 02:11:13 am »

Could I ask when the cut off point is for predictions please? I ask as the caucuses in Iowa do not open for another six hours or so and having been informed by sources on the ground they expect Sanders to get 30%+, I wanted to change my prediction to reflect this and couldn't, therefore would like to know for future reference?

I just updated my map and was locked out of Iowa, so maybe there's no set cutoff point for the whole thing.
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Horatii
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« Reply #7 on: February 14, 2020, 08:43:22 pm »

Should Bloomberg/Klobuchar get their own colour?
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #8 on: February 18, 2020, 09:15:59 pm »

Should Bloomberg/Klobuchar get their own colour?

Yes

Dave, would it be possible to remove Harris and give Bloomberg his own color? Recent polls have him at 20% nationally and I expect he could win several states. Would be an amazing update.
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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #9 on: February 19, 2020, 05:30:17 am »
« Edited: February 19, 2020, 05:56:00 am by АndriуValeriovich »



My current prediction:
Green=Sanders
Dark blue= Bloomberg
Light blue= Biden
Pink= Klobuchar
Dark red= Warren

Klobuchar, Warren, Buttigieg drop out after Super Tuesday
Biden drop out after March 10th primary

I will update my prediction after Nevada caucus
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Laki
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« Reply #10 on: February 19, 2020, 07:49:03 am »




Sanders: dark green
Biden: dark blue
Bloomberg: light blue
Buttigieg: yellow
Klobuchar: red
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Harvey Lee Updyke III🌹
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« Reply #11 on: February 23, 2020, 02:41:25 am »

Here was my prediction from awhile back.  Had to wait until I had 20 posts though.  I guess you'll just have to take my word for it...

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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #12 on: March 08, 2020, 09:14:15 am »



Let's be honest, I really don't have a clue what's going to happen.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #13 on: March 14, 2020, 12:15:31 pm »



Final primary map
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