|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 24, 2020, 11:16:04 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  Order the swing states from the one that will trend most blue to most red
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Order the swing states from the one that will trend most blue to most red  (Read 349 times)
Joe Boden
Rookie
**
Posts: 116
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 28, 2020, 06:33:24 am »

you pick what you consider swing states
Logged
Eighteen sixty-four
1864
Rookie
**
Posts: 31
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2020, 06:02:10 pm »

In order, score = 1/10 1 is most democratic and 10 is most republican (trend is current "swing" states (I'm including presidential swing states + states with a split senate delegation)

Nevada currently 3, probably going to become a 2 long-term
Pennsylvania currently a 5, probably going to become a 4 longer-term
Montana currently 9, probably going to move to a 7 or a 6
Maine currently a 2, might go to a 5 or 6 in a decade
New Hampshire currently 3, might go to a 4
Arizona currently a 6, well on the path to becoming a 4
Wisconsin currently 5 - pretty static.
Michigan currently 5 - in a couple decades it could become a 6 or a 7, depending on if Detroit keeps shrinking or not.
Florida currently 6 - toss-up, it depends on a lot of factors.
Ohio currently 8 - static
West Virginia currently 11, there is no way in hell democrats can win this state in the next 20 years unless DC expands
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.159 seconds with 14 queries.