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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  Order the swing states from the one that will trend most blue to most red
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Author Topic: Order the swing states from the one that will trend most blue to most red  (Read 349 times)
Joe Boden
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« on: April 28, 2020, 06:33:24 am »

you pick what you consider swing states
Eighteen sixty-four
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« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2020, 06:02:10 pm »

In order, score = 1/10 1 is most democratic and 10 is most republican (trend is current "swing" states (I'm including presidential swing states + states with a split senate delegation)

Nevada currently 3, probably going to become a 2 long-term
Pennsylvania currently a 5, probably going to become a 4 longer-term
Montana currently 9, probably going to move to a 7 or a 6
Maine currently a 2, might go to a 5 or 6 in a decade
New Hampshire currently 3, might go to a 4
Arizona currently a 6, well on the path to becoming a 4
Wisconsin currently 5 - pretty static.
Michigan currently 5 - in a couple decades it could become a 6 or a 7, depending on if Detroit keeps shrinking or not.
Florida currently 6 - toss-up, it depends on a lot of factors.
Ohio currently 8 - static
West Virginia currently 11, there is no way in hell democrats can win this state in the next 20 years unless DC expands
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