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October 01, 2020, 03:38:41 am
News: First US presidential debate discussion thread link:

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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  Best Case Scenario for Republicans in 2020 Senate (November 2019)
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Author Topic: Best Case Scenario for Republicans in 2020 Senate (November 2019)  (Read 1687 times)
538Electoral
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« on: November 29, 2019, 02:46:14 am »



Was teetering on NH but the state I feel is swingy enough to where even it's senate seat could be narrowly be won by Republicans in their best night.

GA SPECIAL: Safe R

56-44
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2019, 06:33:47 am »



Was teetering on NH but the state I feel is swingy enough to where even it's senate seat could be narrowly be won by Republicans in their best night.

GA SPECIAL: Safe R

56-44

In this scenario, I'd color NC dark blue, too.  In the highly unlikely scenario Trump is winning in a landslide, I'd keep an eye on Oregon.  It wouldn't flip but it might be a surprise 5-6% MOV state in the Senate. 
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President Biden
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« Reply #2 on: November 29, 2019, 09:32:11 am »

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: December 01, 2019, 08:35:11 am »

Realistic

+AL, MI

Net: R+2, 55-45 R Senate

Absolute

+AL, MI, MN, NH, NM

Net: R+5, 58-42 R Senate
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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #4 on: December 23, 2019, 05:10:40 pm »

This
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #5 on: December 27, 2019, 03:04:12 am »

The GOP and the Dems arent gonna sweep every race and it's time to think outside the box, beyond the 278 freiwal:

Dems net 3-6 seats AK, AZ, CO, GA, KS, KY, SC and TX goes D
Rs pickup MI and AL a diverse election can happen
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MB
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« Reply #6 on: December 29, 2019, 12:16:10 am »

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brucejoel99
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« Reply #7 on: December 30, 2019, 10:36:00 pm »

Realistic:
+AL, MI, NH
Net: R+3, 56-44 R Senate

Absolute:
+AL, DE, MI, MN, NH, NM, OR, VA
Net: R+8, 61-39 R Senate
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538Electoral
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« Reply #8 on: December 31, 2019, 02:24:32 pm »

Realistic:
+AL, MI, NH
Net: R+3, 56-44 R Senate

Absolute:
+AL, DE, MI, MN, NH, NM, OR, VA
Net: R+8, 61-39 R Senate

Agreed on everything but DE interestingly enough.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #9 on: December 31, 2019, 02:28:31 pm »

Realistic:
+AL, MI, NH
Net: R+3, 56-44 R Senate

Absolute:
+AL, DE, MI, MN, NH, NM, OR, VA
Net: R+8, 61-39 R Senate

Agreed on everything but DE interestingly enough.

Fair enough, I just based it on the unlikely chance that Scarane wins the primary then somehow manages to blow it in the general.
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Laki
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« Reply #10 on: January 17, 2020, 05:37:16 am »



Absolute best case scenario, maybe DE and CO should be included as well, but that's less of a 1% chance to happen.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #11 on: February 01, 2020, 10:22:47 pm »

Dems winning CO and losing AL
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Harvey Lee Updyke III🌹
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« Reply #12 on: February 21, 2020, 04:22:31 am »

The GOP and the Dems arent gonna sweep every race and it's time to think outside the box, beyond the 278 freiwal:

Dems net 3-6 seats AK, AZ, CO, GA, KS, KY, SC and TX goes D
Rs pickup MI and AL a diverse election can happen

I would sh**t my pants if that happened.  That Dem Senate caucus would be splintered as hell too.
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