Timeline: Pierre Delecto wins 2012
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Author Topic: Timeline: Pierre Delecto wins 2012  (Read 1307 times)
538Electoral
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« on: October 22, 2019, 10:32:32 PM »

Election Night 2012: It's Election Night and we now have 7:00 PM poll closings!

538Electoral now projects that Mitt Romney will win the following 4 states: Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky and Indiana which is the first flip of the night.

Meanwhile, We can also say the President will win Vermont with 3 electoral votes.

Virginia with 13 critical electoral votes are too close to call. Romney's path to 270 becomes very difficult without Virginia.



538Electoral projects Romney has 44 electoral votes and Obama has 3.

Can you guess what the map will look like?
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538Electoral
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2019, 10:37:48 PM »

It's 7:30PM, 538Electoral projects Romney will win West Virginia.

Ohio: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

538Electoral says Ohio is too close to call, Both candidates have been fighting to the brink for Ohio.

North Carolina: TOO EARLY TO CALL

538Electoral projects North Carolina is too early to call, We don't have enough information to say who will win in this state.

Romney has 49 electoral votes, Obama has 3.

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Computer89
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2019, 10:38:55 PM »

Given GA was called at 8 PM in OTL and not instantly I would assume Romney performs much better in the Atlanta Suburbs (With wins Cobb and Gwinnett by around 20 points ) and wins GA by double digits. So from that I would say Romney wins FL and VA which gives Romney 248 EV.  He probably gets CO as well with a better performance in the Denver Suburbs which puts him at 257 EV

As for OH he wins Hamilton and does better in Cincinnati Metro but the question is is that enough to make up for his disastrous performance in NE OH.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2019, 10:47:14 PM »

It's 8PM on the east coast.

538Electoral projects the President will win Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Rhode Island and DC.

We also project Governor Romney will win Alabama, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma and Tennessee.

FLORIDA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

This classic battleground state is too close to call.

PENNSYLVANIA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Pennsylvania unexpectedly became a battleground state in the past week as polling has tightened significantly, If Romney wins here his path becomes much easier. PA is too close to call.

NEW HAMPSHIRE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Romney hopes his Northeastern ties will help him win here, It's too close to call.

MAINE: TOO EARLY TO CALL

Obama is expected to win here, But we don't have enough information to project who will win. Romney hopes he can win the rural 2nd congressional district.



Romney - 92
Obama - 75
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538Electoral
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2019, 11:27:13 PM »



8:30PM

538Electoral projects Arkansas goes to Mitt Romney.

Romney - 98
Obama - 75
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538Electoral
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2019, 11:35:23 PM »

9PM

538Electoral projects the President will win New York.

538Electoral projects Romney will win Arizona, Kansas, Louisiana, Nebraska (All 5), North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas and Wyoming.

COLORADO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Colorado with 9 electoral votes is too close to call. Obama hopes hispanics will save him here.

MICHIGAN: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Michigan much like Pennsylvania recently became a battleground state after several polls show the race within 5 points. A Romney win in a state the President won by almost 17 points last time would open many more paths for him. Michigan is too close to call.

MINNESOTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Interestingly, Minnesota was rated Lean D before the election but several sources show this race is closer than we thought it would be. Minnesota is too close to call.

NEW MEXICO: TOO EARLY TO CALL

We don't have enough information to project the state, Obama is expected to win here though.

WISCONSIN: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Obama won the state by 14 points last time, Romney hopes his VP pick and the recall will help him win here. The state is too close to call for the moment.

Romney - 175
Obama - 104



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538Electoral
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2019, 11:38:49 PM »

It's 9:38PM and we have 2 calls.

538Electoral projects Romney will win North Carolina and Obama will get 3 of Maine's electoral votes though it looks like Maine will be closer than we thought. Maine's 2nd congressional district is too close to call.

North Carolina: 45% in

Romney: 53% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Obama: 46%

Maine: 21% in

Obama: 52% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Romney: 46%

Romney - 190
Obama - 107

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538Electoral
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2019, 11:46:11 PM »

10PM

538Electoral projects Romney will win Montana and Utah.

NEVADA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Nevada has the highest hispanic/latino population of any swing state. Romney hopes the mormon population and the high unemployment in the state will bail him out. Nevada is still too close to call.

IOWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Romney has made efforts to appeal to the white working class in the state. The state is too close to call.



Romney - 199
Obama - 107
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538Electoral
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2019, 12:39:20 AM »



11PM:

538Electoral projects Obama will win CA, OR, WA and HI while Romney wins Idaho

11:20PM: New Mexico will go to Obama.

Obama: 50% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Romney: 45%

Romney - 203
Obama - 190
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538Electoral
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2019, 12:59:51 AM »



11:43PM

We project Florida goes to Romney, Romney's third flip of the night.

Florida results, 96% in

Romney: 51% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Obama: 48%

11:56PM

We project Obama will win Minnesota though it's closer than expected.

Minnesota results, 80% in

Obama: 51% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Romney: 47%

Romney - 232
Obama - 200
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538Electoral
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2019, 01:04:48 AM »



12:14AM

538Electoral projects Romney wins Iowa. A very big call, Romney only needs Ohio and Virginia at this point.

Iowa results, 91% in

Romney: 50% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Obama: 48%

12:27AM

Romney will win Maine's 2nd congressional district, This is the first electoral vote to go for Romney that didn't go for Bush in either 2000 or 2004.

ME-02 results, 96% in

Romney: 52% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Obama: 47%

Romney - 239
Obama - 200
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538Electoral
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2019, 01:10:47 AM »



12:33AM

538Electoral projects Obama will win Nevada.

Nevada results, 92% in

Obama: 51% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Romney: 47%

12:38AM

538Electoral has a big call, Obama will hold on to Colorado much to the disappointment of Romney.

Colorado results, 99% in

Obama: 49.8% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Romney: 49.2%

12:46AM

538Electoral has a very significant call to make, Romney will win Ohio.

Ohio results, 97% in

Romney: 50.4% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Obama: 49%

Romney - 257
Obama - 215
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538Electoral
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2019, 01:16:38 AM »

1AM

538Electoral projects Romney will win Alaska.

2:18AM

538Electoral makes 5 calls.

VIRGINIA: OBAMA WINS

Virginia results, 99% in

Obama: 49.2% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Romney: 48.9%

NEW HAMPSHIRE: OBAMA WINS

New Hampshire results, 100% in

Obama: 49.3% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Romney: 49.2%

WISCONSIN: ROMNEY WINS

Wisconsin results, 99% in

Romney: 50.4% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Obama: 48.3%

MICHIGAN: ROMNEY WINS

Michigan results, 100% in

Romney: 49.7% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Obama: 49.3%

PENNSYLVANIA: ROMNEY WINS

Pennsylvania results, 100% in

Romney: 49.5% (PROJECTED WINNER)
Obama: 48.8%



Romney - 306
Obama - 232

ROMNEY IS ELECTED 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES!
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538Electoral
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2019, 01:18:48 AM »

And yes, I made the map the same as the actual 2016 map.

Would anyone of you like me to make a timeline of a Romney presidency?
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Pericles
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2019, 01:31:58 AM »

Romney wouldn't have won with the Trump 2016 map, such a result is unrealistic.
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2019, 01:35:05 AM »

Romney wouldn't have won with the Trump 2016 map, such a result is unrealistic.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #16 on: October 23, 2019, 01:58:14 AM »

Romney wouldn't have won with the Trump 2016 map, such a result is unrealistic.

I'm aware of that. I decided to do the 2016 map for fun.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
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« Reply #17 on: October 26, 2019, 10:48:43 PM »

A Romney win has him taking Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire, Nevada, and Minnesota but not Michigan or ME-02.
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DeSantis4Prez
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« Reply #18 on: October 29, 2019, 10:08:23 PM »

And yes, I made the map the same as the actual 2016 map.

Would anyone of you like me to make a timeline of a Romney presidency?

Yes
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538Electoral
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« Reply #19 on: October 29, 2019, 11:16:43 PM »

January 21st, 2013: Romney inaugurated.

January 23rd, 2013: Romney gets to work, He signs modest tax cuts into law. Romney has a 52% approval rating and a 47% disapproval rating at this time.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2019, 09:23:48 AM »

January 26th, 2013: Romney signs an executive order to have the Keystone XL Pipeline completed as soon as possible.

January 29th, 2013: Romney visits Virginia for a rally to hype up for the gubernatorial election later this year. Virginia legislature passes a law that now allows Bob McDonnell to run for a second term.

Oh, and if any of you are wondering, Republicans also picked up Washington and Montana for the gubernatorial races back in November 2012. For the senate, Republicans also picked up IN, MT, MA, NM, ND, OH, VA and WI for a 53-47 majority.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2019, 03:59:30 PM »

Moved from the subforum since it's a timeline, not a mere election matchup.
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