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September 29, 2020, 10:28:47 pm
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Discussion thread link: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=400306.0

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  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  Ernst leads Greenfield 47/40 (Emerson) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Ernst leads Greenfield 47/40 (Emerson)  (Read 715 times)
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Posts: 11,981
United States

Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« on: October 17, 2019, 12:51:12 pm »

I pray that this horrible woman loses her seat simply for the fact that she called the shooting at UCSB an accident. With that said, I'd be very surprised if she won again because the tariffs have done Iowa no favors and the midterms were not friendly to Republicans at the federal level. Plus, if I'm not mistaken she was out raised this last reporting cycle.

I'm also not convinced that she's not an accidental Senator who stumbled into office in a midterm. There is also the GOP logic that undecideds break for the challenger, so if you factor that in Ernst is set to lose 53-47.
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