Morning Consult national poll:Biden 31 Warren 21 Sanders 18 Harris 7 Buttigieg 6

[Mr. Morden]

Morning Consult national poll, conducted Oct. 16 (so, 100% post-debate):

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary-2/

Biden 31%
Warren 21%
Sanders 18%
Harris 7%
Buttigieg 6%
Yang 3%
Booker 2%
Klobuchar 2%
O’Rourke 2%
Steyer 2%
Bennet 1%
Bullock 1%
Castro 1%
Delaney 1%
Gabbard 1%
Ryan 1%
Williamson 1%

[Sorenroy]

Sample size of 2,202 likely voters. Change is from their last regular weekly poll released Sunday.

Biden — 31% (-1%)
Warren — 21% (±0)
Sanders — 19% (-1%)
Harris — 7% (+1%)
Buttigieg — 6% (+1%)
Yang — 3% (±0)
Booker — 2% (±0)
Klobuchar — 2% (+1%)
O'Rourke — 2% (-1%)
Steyer — 2% (+1%)
Bennet — 1% (±0)
Bullock  — 1% (±0)
Castro — 1% (±0)
Delaney — 1% (±0)
Gabbard — 1% (±0)
Ryan — 1% (±0)
Williamson — 1% (±0)

[The Mikado]

Morning Consult. Morning Consult never changes.

[Tintrlvr]

Morning Consult. Morning Consult never changes.

This is a lot of changes for Morning Consult. Last week, the only change was Biden dropping by a single point.

[Matty]

I am getting sick and tired of these tracking polls (Scott Rasmussen and morning consult) not showing any movement

[Cinemark]

I am getting sick and tired of these tracking polls (Scott Rasmussen and morning consult) not showing any movement

I wonder if its because their sample is the same groups of people.

Back during 2016, the L.A. Times had a tracking poll that was very friendly to Trump. Turns out it was partly because there was a black voter who kept screwing about the race weighting by constantly switching their support from Hillary to Trump(i'm definetly oversimplfying what actually happend).

Still, if they're just polling from a fixed group of people like some trackers do, it could be the reason why these results are so static.

[Tintrlvr]

I am getting sick and tired of these tracking polls (Scott Rasmussen and morning consult) not showing any movement

I wonder if its because their sample is the same groups of people.

Back during 2016, the L.A. Times had a tracking poll that was very friendly to Trump. Turns out it was partly because there was a black voter who kept screwing about the race weighting by constantly switching their support from Hillary to Trump(i'm definetly oversimplfying what actually happend).

Still, if they're just polling from a fixed group of people like some trackers do, it could be the reason why these results are so static.

If they're asking the same people every time, there could be "founder effect" problems. YouGov gets around that with its panels by having a huge group they draw from (I think around 30,000 people). The LA Times poll had its problems because it had a group of only around 2,000 people, and it just so happened that the only 18-25 black male in their group was a Trump supporter, so the poll results changed dramatically depending on whether he responded that time or not.