2020: Clinton/Kaine vs Kasich/Haley

[BigVic]

Clinton narrowly defeats Trump in the EC in 2016 but faces a divided Congress. In 2018, the GOP sweeps in the midterms.

During the Primaries, Kasich emerges from a crowded field in the GOP primaries in a contested convention and chooses primary opponent Nikki Haley as her running mate in the general election. Hillary is also primaried by Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard.

On Election Day, the President’s approval rating hovers at around 45-49% on various opinion polls. Who wins?!? Discuss with maps

[538Electoral]

Kasich if due to party fatigue alone. Map looks similar to the actual 2016 map perhaps with NV, NH and/or MN red as well.

[West_Midlander]

In 2016 she gets this map and her running mate is probably Bob Casey, Jr. I know you have Kaine but she has to mobilize the Rust Belt, at least part of it, somehow.

278 D - 260 R

282 R - 246 D

I think 282 is the floor for Kasich. He could win up to a couple more states.

[BigVic]

In 2016 she gets this map and her running mate is probably Bob Casey, Jr. I know you have Kaine but she has to mobilize the Rust Belt, at least part of it, somehow.

278 D - 260 R

282 R - 246 D

I think 282 is the floor for Kasich. He could win up to a couple more states.

2nd map plus MI and PA

[Kingpoleon]

323: John Kasich/Nikki Haley - 50.3%
215: Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine - 45.9%
Others - 3.8%

Not sure about Michigan, Nevada, Colorado, and Virginia, though.