CBS/YouGov: IA: Biden/Warren tie, NH: Warren +8, SC: Biden +25 (user search)
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  CBS/YouGov: IA: Biden/Warren tie, NH: Warren +8, SC: Biden +25 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: IA: Biden/Warren tie, NH: Warren +8, SC: Biden +25  (Read 2052 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: October 13, 2019, 09:51:34 AM »

Here's another way to look at it.

Iowa

Warren/Sanders: 43
Biden: 22

New Hampshire

Warren/Sanders: 49
Biden: 24

South Carolina

Biden: 43
Warren/Sanders: 34

Biden seems to be helped in Iowa by high % for Buttigieg and some others. There's no way Biden wins Iowa with over 30%, and there's a pretty large chance of nobody getting over 30% there. But these polls still show one main thing: Sanders is still a major contender in this race.

And Biden's firewall of Super Tuesday doesn't seem to be holding up. If he's losing all the states combined he's very likely losing all non-south states.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2019, 12:27:35 AM »

Here's another way to look at it:

Iowa

Biden/Warren/Sanders: 65
Buttigieg: 14

New Hampshire

Biden/Warren/Sanders: 73
Buttigieg: 7

South Carolina

Biden/Warren/Sanders: 77
Harris: 7


My post was simply an observation, one that two progressive firebrands are easily overtaking the established frontrunner. I did not insinuate that Warren and Sanders voters are interchangeable and that their supporters will group up, and if you know me you'll know I've stated many times that most Warren supporters will not go to Sanders, or vise versa. But your streak of being condescending towards me continues.
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