This was an amazing night for Republicans.
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  This was an amazing night for Republicans.
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Author Topic: This was an amazing night for Republicans.  (Read 5226 times)
538Electoral
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« on: October 12, 2019, 10:36:46 PM »

Not only did we prevent Edwards from reaching 50%, We collectively got 52% of the vote tonight which looks great for our odds of winning the runoff assuming we stay united.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2019, 10:39:55 PM »

You do know republicans got 57.3% in the jungle primary in 2015, right?

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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2019, 10:40:50 PM »

You do know republicans got 57.3% in the jungle primary in 2015, right?



2015 is meaningless without the context of Vitter's diaper scandal.
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2019, 10:42:33 PM »

Big if true
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2019, 10:42:53 PM »

Yes, Republicans will continue to win in Trump +20 states and districts and nothing can sway enough Republicans in these areas for Democrats to flip them. Doesn't mean Republicans can consistently win in places Trump won by less than 5.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2019, 10:44:33 PM »

You do know republicans got 57.3% in the jungle primary in 2015, right?



2015 is meaningless without the context of Vitter's diaper scandal.

Abraham and Rispone are also separate candidates with relatively equally-sized bases, assuming that Rispone can consolidate all of Abraham's base in four weeks is a big ask.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2019, 10:47:27 PM »

You do know republicans got 57.3% in the jungle primary in 2015, right?



2015 is meaningless without the context of Vitter's diaper scandal.

Abraham and Rispone are also separate candidates with relatively equally-sized bases, assuming that Rispone can consolidate all of Abraham's base in four weeks is a big ask.

Not really in this era
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2019, 10:49:52 PM »

Thank you President Trump. You were a real asset in helping us counteract this fake 'conservative' or 'moderate' or 'blue dawg' Democrat. John Bel is going down.

May Louisiana elect Eddie Rispone, may Mississippi elect Tate Reeves, and may Kentucky re-elect Matt Bevin.

#GOPhasGotThis
#TrumpJustKeepsWinning
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Cinemark
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« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2019, 10:53:22 PM »

You do know republicans got 57.3% in the jungle primary in 2015, right?



2015 is meaningless without the context of Vitter's diaper scandal.

Abraham and Rispone are also separate candidates with relatively equally-sized bases, assuming that Rispone can consolidate all of Abraham's base in four weeks is a big ask.

Ripose also ran a rather brutal campaign against Abraham. Might hurt efforts to consolidate.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: October 12, 2019, 11:08:25 PM »

No, it wasn't, JBE still is Gov and you still have to beat him on Nov 16th
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538Electoral
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« Reply #10 on: October 12, 2019, 11:09:52 PM »

No, it wasn't, JBE still is Gov and you still have to beat him on Nov 16th

That won't be as difficult as you think. JBE only got 47%, We can win.
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Storr
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« Reply #11 on: October 12, 2019, 11:38:45 PM »

I'd hold off on celebrating until someone actually wins the election.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2019, 12:06:02 AM »

Does anyone has a list of seats which flipped either way. In the Senate two seats flipped from D to R (SD38 and SD 28), but what about the House ?

 Senate Map
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OneJ
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2019, 12:35:27 AM »

There's at least one House race that'll determine whether or not the Republicans get a supermajority in that chamber.
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Perlen vor den Schweinen
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« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2019, 12:38:47 AM »

self-congratulatory self-pleasure to election results never turns out too good from what I recall
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Pericles
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« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2019, 01:24:54 AM »

Atlas is being idiotic as usual, a Democrat getting 47% in Louisiana in 2019 is impressive and JBE is the favorite for the runoff.
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Beet
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« Reply #16 on: October 13, 2019, 01:32:11 AM »

2019 has been quite good for Republicans so far. First they consolidated the Wisconsin Supreme Court; then they won an election where their last guy was convicted of fraud; now they win a super-majority in the Louisiana State Senate and possibly House. These are the main elections where "The Squad" has been the face of the Democrats.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #17 on: October 13, 2019, 04:28:03 AM »

This one is telling

#RIPSouthernBlueDogsDemocrats
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2019, 04:31:35 AM »

2019 has been quite good for Republicans so far. First they consolidated the Wisconsin Supreme Court; then they won an election where their last guy was convicted of fraud; now they win a super-majority in the Louisiana State Senate and possibly House. These are the main elections where "The Squad" has been the face of the Democrats.

And even special elections have been quite good when compared to the 2017/2018 ones.
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Lechasseur
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« Reply #19 on: October 13, 2019, 06:02:07 AM »

You do know republicans got 57.3% in the jungle primary in 2015, right?



2015 is meaningless without the context of Vitter's diaper scandal.

Abraham and Rispone are also separate candidates with relatively equally-sized bases, assuming that Rispone can consolidate all of Abraham's base in four weeks is a big ask.

Yeah I don't think it will happen. I think some Abraham voters will go to JBE and JBE ends up winning 51-52% of the vote in November.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #20 on: October 13, 2019, 06:48:05 AM »

Just to be clear..

During impeachment talk and other Democrats  not even earning a third of the vote in Louisiana we have a Democratic governor who is favored in the run off and will win historically uber GOP and largely white parishes.

Perspective can place an entirely different spin!
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #21 on: October 13, 2019, 07:44:50 AM »

Just to be clear..

During impeachment talk and other Democrats  not even earning a third of the vote in Louisiana we have a Democratic governor who is favored in the run off and will win historically uber GOP and largely white parishes.

Perspective can place an entirely different spin!

I mean, if we’re actually dealing in results instead of #trendsarereal memes then JBE has already proved he can do that in 2019.  He won a majority in JeffParish and came super close in St. Tammany, hit his benchmark in EBR, and consistently overran Clinton by over >10 pts in a primary.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #22 on: October 13, 2019, 07:57:02 AM »

Not amazing, but yes, good. Edwards only needs 3% of the total Republican vote to win a runoff if turnout stays the same. It's hard to see Abraham voters switching to Edwards, especially since they're disproportionately in the rural north of the state that is the most stubbornly Republican. The greatest danger for Rispone, and the great hope for JBE, is that they stay home.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #23 on: October 13, 2019, 08:55:09 AM »

Just to be clear..

During impeachment talk and other Democrats  not even earning a third of the vote in Louisiana we have a Democratic governor who is favored in the run off and will win historically uber GOP and largely white parishes.

Perspective can place an entirely different spin!

I mean, if we’re actually dealing in results instead of #trendsarereal memes then JBE has already proved he can do that in 2019.  He won a majority in JeffParish and came super close in St. Tammany, hit his benchmark in EBR, and consistently overran Clinton by over >10 pts in a primary.

Those suburban results align perfectly with the #trendsarereal meme
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #24 on: October 13, 2019, 09:15:24 AM »

Are you really cheering over Louisiana, Mississippi, and ing Kentucky?
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