2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 167867 times)
Roll Roons
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« Reply #1950 on: October 14, 2020, 09:26:11 PM »


I really would not be surprised if in 2024, the machines force Menendez to retire and replace him with Sherrill.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1951 on: October 14, 2020, 11:41:56 PM »
Crystal Ball changes
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #1952 on: October 15, 2020, 12:48:49 AM »

For Oregon 4th, seriously why?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1953 on: October 15, 2020, 01:27:05 AM »
Besides the impressive fundraising of his opponent, is there any other reason to consider DeFazio vulnerable?
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WD
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« Reply #1954 on: October 15, 2020, 01:31:54 AM »
« Edited: October 15, 2020, 01:37:36 AM by Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 15, 2020, 01:27:05 AM
Besides the impressive fundraising of his opponent, is there any other reason to consider DeFazio vulnerable?

Clinton only won it by 0.1, but DeFazio will likely overperform Biden( who will definitely do better than Clinton here) so no, not really. The only thing noticeable is all the spending on ads here, the CLF has bought some time here and I have seen a few ads from HMP, which seems to indicate that they’re treating this as a competitive race.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #1955 on: October 15, 2020, 08:44:03 AM »
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on October 15, 2020, 01:31:54 AM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 15, 2020, 01:27:05 AM
Besides the impressive fundraising of his opponent, is there any other reason to consider DeFazio vulnerable?

Clinton only won it by 0.1, but DeFazio will likely overperform Biden( who will definitely do better than Clinton here) so no, not really. The only thing noticeable is all the spending on ads here, the CLF has bought some time here and I have seen a few ads from HMP, which seems to indicate that they’re treating this as a competitive race.

DeFazio will do significantly worse than Biden. He's old and frail facing a nice young military hero. The only reason he did so well in his previous elections is he kept facing joke opponents.
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VAR
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« Reply #1956 on: October 15, 2020, 08:56:25 AM »
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WD
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« Reply #1957 on: October 15, 2020, 09:31:48 AM »
Quote from: DTC on October 15, 2020, 08:44:03 AM
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on October 15, 2020, 01:31:54 AM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 15, 2020, 01:27:05 AM
Besides the impressive fundraising of his opponent, is there any other reason to consider DeFazio vulnerable?

Clinton only won it by 0.1, but DeFazio will likely overperform Biden( who will definitely do better than Clinton here) so no, not really. The only thing noticeable is all the spending on ads here, the CLF has bought some time here and I have seen a few ads from HMP, which seems to indicate that they’re treating this as a competitive race.

DeFazio will do significantly worse than Biden. He's old and frail facing a nice young military hero. The only reason he did so well in his previous elections is he kept facing joke opponents.

I’m skeptical that their will be many Biden-Skarletos voters. But we’ll have to see. But yeah, he definitely doesn’t have as much crossover appeal as he used to.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1958 on: October 15, 2020, 09:41:51 AM »
My God!
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Storr
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« Reply #1959 on: October 15, 2020, 10:05:07 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 15, 2020, 09:41:51 AM
My God!


Populism Purple heart
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1960 on: October 15, 2020, 10:19:29 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 15, 2020, 09:41:51 AM
My God!



Jon Tester raised 21 million the entire 2018 cycle.
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Benjamin Frank
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« Reply #1961 on: October 15, 2020, 01:33:01 PM »
Another 40 are now reporting on opensecrets.org bringing the total to 172.  Most reporting are Republicans.

1.James Averhart (D) Alabama 1st, $63,253
2.Barry Moore (R) Alabama 2nd, 569,218
3.Steve Womack (R) Arkansas 3rd, 938,657
4.Diana DeGette (D) Colorado 1st, 1,050,809
5.Ed Perlmutter (D) Colorado 7th, 1,434,179
6.Christine Quinn (R) Florida 14th, 77,982
7.Mario Diaz Balart (R) Florida 25th, 1,440,461
8.Jan Schakowsky (D) Illinois 9th, 1,747,606
9.Frank Mrvan (D) Indiana 1st, 416,412
10.Patricia Hackett (D) Indiana 2nd, 710,784
11.Larry Buchshson (R) Indiana 8th, 911,262
12.Neil Parrott (R) Maryland 6th, 266,430
13.Julie Hall (R) Massachusetts 4th, 104,147
14.John Paul Moran (R) Massachusetts 6th, 218,951
15.Jeff Jones (R) Michigan 12th, 6,396
16.Antonia Eliason (D) Mississippi 1st 14,398
17.Bennie Thompson (D) Mississippi 2nd, 1,156,594
18.Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) Missouri 3rd, 1,527,362
19.Patricia Ackerman (D) Nevada 2nd, 356,064
20.Steve Negron (R) New Hampshire 2nd, 323,408
21.Carolyn Maloney (D) New York 12th, 2,429,336
22.Lovelynn Gwinn (R) New York 13th, 34,463
23.Elizabeth Joy (R) New York 20th, 328,406
24.Warren Davidson (R) Ohio 8th, 895,489
25.Rob Weber (R) Ohio 9th, 124,792
26.Joel Newby (D) Ohio 15th, 46,643
27.Aaron Godfrey (D) Ohio 16th, 48,506
28.Dan Meuser (R) Pennsylvania 9th, 877,416
29.Lee Griffin (D) Pennsylvania 12, 34,329
30.Mike Doyle (D) Pennsylvania 18, 902,898
31.Renee Hoyos (D) Tennessee 2nd, 714,964
32.David Kustoff (R) Tennessee 8th, 1,275,212
33.Al Green (D) Texas 9th, 410,928
34.John Mark Hogg (D) Texas 11th, 111,367
35.Adrienne Bell (D) Texas 14th, 224,334
36.Monica De La Cruz (R) Texas 15th, 362,019
37.Brandon Rashad Lewis (D) Texas 36th, 11,592
38.Dave Wilson (D) Washington 5th, 80,555
39.Doug Basler (R) Washington 9th, 13,926
40.Gwen Moore (D) Wisconsin 4th, 1,045,701

112 Republicans and 60 Democrats now reporting as per opensecrets.org
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Xing
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« Reply #1962 on: October 15, 2020, 01:35:14 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 15, 2020, 09:41:51 AM
My God!



Wow, how many tractors and cows can he buy with that money?
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VAR
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« Reply #1963 on: October 15, 2020, 02:06:05 PM »
« Edited: October 15, 2020, 02:15:31 PM by High-quality pollster Quinnipiac »








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VAR
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« Reply #1964 on: October 15, 2020, 02:13:52 PM »
Amy Kennedy (NJ-02) COH: $300k
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #1965 on: October 15, 2020, 03:05:35 PM »
Republicans are slowly but surely getting better at small dollar fundraising.
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VAR
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« Reply #1966 on: October 15, 2020, 04:13:18 PM »
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1967 on: October 15, 2020, 05:02:38 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on October 15, 2020, 03:05:35 PM
Republicans are slowly but surely getting better at small dollar fundraising.

Not really. Dem donors are just all directing to Senate races.
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Benjamin Frank
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« Reply #1968 on: October 15, 2020, 06:50:18 PM »
« Edited: October 16, 2020, 09:39:41 AM by Frank »
Edited by mistake.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1969 on: October 15, 2020, 08:53:50 PM »
CLF triaging ME-02:


To think this seat was considered a top-tier pickup opportunity at the start of the cycle.
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Splash
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« Reply #1970 on: October 15, 2020, 11:09:47 PM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1971 on: October 16, 2020, 05:14:47 AM »
Quote from: Splash on October 15, 2020, 11:09:47 PM


Do we have exact #s from Gideon and Collins? I assume Gideon probably got close to $40M if thats the case then
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VAR
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« Reply #1972 on: October 16, 2020, 05:20:44 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 16, 2020, 05:14:47 AM
Quote from: Splash on October 15, 2020, 11:09:47 PM


Do we have exact #s from Gideon and Collins? I assume Gideon probably got close to $40M if thats the case then

Gideon raised $39M.
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1973 on: October 16, 2020, 05:25:45 AM »
-Wagner raised $1.3M in Q3, has $2.1M in cash on hand. Also Schupp raised $1.9M, has in $1.1M cash on hand.
-McBath raised $2.2M in Q3, & she has $1.9M in cash on hand.
-Van Drew raised $1M
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Benjamin Frank
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« Reply #1974 on: October 16, 2020, 09:42:01 AM »
Opensecrets.org has updated their $ figures for Alek Skarlatos and Burgess Owens, and the $ figures posted in the tweets were correct.

I don't think opensecrets.org made an intentional mistake initially, but they changed the date from 6/30 to 9/30 without updating the $ figure.  Bunch of jerks.

Oh well, I think they're mostly volunteers, so can't be too hard on them.
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