Cinemark
Jr. Member
Posts: 870
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« on: October 09, 2019, 10:02:11 AM » |
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I think this shows why its so important for Warren to win the first three contests. If she wins Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada, the anti Biden vote should start coalescing behind her.
And in the 2016 primary, Hillary got 82% of the black vote in North Carolina. If Warren wants to not be Sanders 2.0 ala 2016, she needs to atleast coalesce a majority of that 37% not backing Biden. I think if she wins the first 3 contests and does decently in South Carolina, Biden's super tuesday strategy could fall apart.
But if Warren fails to do strongly, then Biden could very well have a close to insurmountable lead after super tuesday like Hillary did in 2016.
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