What if Rhodesia "won" the Bush War
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April 27, 2024, 01:36:46 PM
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  What if Rhodesia "won" the Bush War
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Author Topic: What if Rhodesia "won" the Bush War  (Read 1113 times)
Continential
The Op
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« on: December 26, 2019, 07:14:46 PM »

What would happen, and what would happen to the ZANU rebels, and would they lose in the long run and there would be a second Bush War by Communists etc?
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Frodo
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« Reply #1 on: December 26, 2019, 07:34:58 PM »

Once Mozambique became independent in 1975, there was really no way for the Rhodesian government to win. 
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Lord Halifax
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« Reply #2 on: December 27, 2019, 04:56:33 AM »

What would happen, and what would happen to the ZANU rebels, and would they lose in the long run and there would be a second Bush War by Communists etc?

You need a much bigger white population for that, at least a million, which would require a lot more pre-war immigration. Immigration was basically reserved for middle class Brits with the funds to establish themselves as "gentlemen farmers" or businessmen in the interwar years and the postwar immigration was too small to compensate for that. There were plans of letting Czech peasants and craftsmen settle after the German annexation of Sudetenland and opening South Rhodesia to Jewish refugees, but neither of these schemes were approved.

The most interesting counterfactual is opening up South Rhodesia for Jewish refugees in the 30s, giving it a large enough white population to conquer southern Mozambique with the harbour in Lourenço Marques (Maputo) after the Portuguese withdrew and access to Israeli military aid and Jewish business networks. That might have given Rhodesia a chance. Though it would have required most of the Jews to stay after 1948 rather than move to Israel.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #3 on: December 27, 2019, 09:29:57 PM »

Had ZANU/ZANLA & ZAPU/ZIPRA been eliminated in '77-'79 & the Muzorewa government (Zimbabwe-Rhodesia) allowed to govern with the entrenched clauses in the Constitution, one may likely have seen a Kenyan-type situation develop. No civil war, but a prosperous country where the people who know how to farm & run mines & factories are kept on, respected, & left alone to make money for everybody.
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