LA-Emerson: Edwards 48, Rispone 25, Abraham 19

[Politician]

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/emerson-poll-finds-louisiana-governor-within-margin-of-victory

[Terry the Fat Shark]

[Frenchrepublican]

’’President Trump, who won the state by 20 points in 2016, has a 50% approval and 42% disapproval with 8% undecided’’

Sure, Dudes

[ElectionsGuy]

It doesn't look sure at all for Edwards to clear a runoff, especially when undecideds lean slightly against him. The fact that he has a 55-60% approval and can't clear 50% should be concerning when it comes to a runoff, regardless of what runoff polling looks like right now.

[UncleSam]

’’President Trump, who won the state by 20 points in 2016, has a 50% approval and 42% disapproval with 8% undecided’’

Sure, Dudes

I mean his approval rating may well be that low, just a lot of those who are undecided on him or even a few who dislike him will still vote for him.

That being said it does look like Edwards will struggle to clear 50% in the first round, and Rispone may be able to win if he keeps on spending as he has been. Kind of a sad testament to polarization that this is even close tbh, at least Baker, Scott, and Hogan all won last year this seems like it should be like one of those races.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

F#ck you Dantzler and Gary Landrieu.

[libertpaulian]

F#ck you Dantzler and Gary Landrieu.

They should drop out and jointly endorse Edwards.

[Politician]

F#ck you Dantzler and Gary Landrieu.

Third parties tend to underperform their polling numbers.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

F#ck you Dantzler and Gary Landrieu.

Third parties tend to underperform their polling numbers.

ik, I still expect them to get 2-3% of the vote when combined though, which really could be a pain.

[Xing]

Edwards probably wins the run-off if he can't avoid it, but it definitely seems like there's some truth to the idea that Democrats like moderate Republicans a lot more than Republicans like moderate Democrats.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Edwards probably wins the run-off if he can't avoid it, but it definitely seems like there's some truth to the idea that Democrats like moderate Republicans a lot more than Republicans like moderate Democrats.

Outside of the south this still wouldn't be much of a problem with a governor as popular and well suited to his state as JBE. Southern whites are mentally unhinged, there's no getting around it.

[Yellowhammer]

Edwards probably wins the run-off if he can't avoid it, but it definitely seems like there's some truth to the idea that Democrats like moderate Republicans a lot more than Republicans like moderate Democrats.

Outside of the south this still wouldn't be much of a problem with a governor as popular and well suited to his state as JBE. Southern whites are mentally unhinged, there's no getting around it.

JBE isn’t even a moderate though.

[libertpaulian]

Edwards probably wins the run-off if he can't avoid it, but it definitely seems like there's some truth to the idea that Democrats like moderate Republicans a lot more than Republicans like moderate Democrats.

Outside of the south this still wouldn't be much of a problem with a governor as popular and well suited to his state as JBE. Southern whites are mentally unhinged, there's no getting around it.

Here in Indiana, he'd stand a very good chance at reelection.

[Pollster]

Looks like they added a small number of cell phones to their sample using opt-in text message (a good methodology that I've begun using recently). Doesn't make up for the idiocy of using Amazon Turk and forcing undecideds to choose somebody, though.

[Frenchrepublican]

Edwards probably wins the run-off if he can't avoid it, but it definitely seems like there's some truth to the idea that Democrats like moderate Republicans a lot more than Republicans like moderate Democrats.

Outside of the south this still wouldn't be much of a problem with a governor as popular and well suited to his state as JBE. Southern whites are mentally unhinged, there's no getting around it.

JBE isn’t even a moderate though.

Yeah, like Donnelly and Heitkamp he is a fake moderate.

[IceSpear]

Man, it would suck if those gadflies Landrieu/Dantzler hold JBE under 50%.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Edwards probably wins the run-off if he can't avoid it, but it definitely seems like there's some truth to the idea that Democrats like moderate Republicans a lot more than Republicans like moderate Democrats.

Outside of the south this still wouldn't be much of a problem with a governor as popular and well suited to his state as JBE. Southern whites are mentally unhinged, there's no getting around it.

JBE isn’t even a moderate though.

Yeah, like Donnelly and Heitkamp he is a fake moderate.

He is to the right of Joe Manchin

[wbrocks67]

Edwards probably wins the run-off if he can't avoid it, but it definitely seems like there's some truth to the idea that Democrats like moderate Republicans a lot more than Republicans like moderate Democrats.

This is the crux of the thing. Democrats are mature and are okay with moderate Republicans. Republicans though, refuse to generally vote for Moderate Democrats like the other side does.

[Frenchrepublican]

Edwards probably wins the run-off if he can't avoid it, but it definitely seems like there's some truth to the idea that Democrats like moderate Republicans a lot more than Republicans like moderate Democrats.

Outside of the south this still wouldn't be much of a problem with a governor as popular and well suited to his state as JBE. Southern whites are mentally unhinged, there's no getting around it.

JBE isn’t even a moderate though.

Yeah, like Donnelly and Heitkamp he is a fake moderate.

He is to the right of Joe Manchin

How so ? Edwards is a ''southern populist'' who is liberal on economic issues while being more moderate on social issues like abortion, I guess that if you compare him to mainstream democrats he is a moderate, but otherwise I wouldn't call him a ''moderate''

[Frenchrepublican]

Edwards probably wins the run-off if he can't avoid it, but it definitely seems like there's some truth to the idea that Democrats like moderate Republicans a lot more than Republicans like moderate Democrats.

This is the crux of the thing. Democrats are mature and are okay with moderate Republicans. Republicans though, refuse to generally vote for Moderate Democrats like the other side does.

I hope you're joking, right ?

Democrats are mature and are okay with moderate Republicans. : Senators Kirk (IL) and Ayotte (NH) agree with this statement

Republicans though, refuse to generally vote for Moderate Democrats like the other side does. : That's why we have senators Tester, Manchin, Brown and Jones in the Senate (and Governors Kelly and Cooper)

[Xing]

Edwards probably wins the run-off if he can't avoid it, but it definitely seems like there's some truth to the idea that Democrats like moderate Republicans a lot more than Republicans like moderate Democrats.

This is the crux of the thing. Democrats are mature and are okay with moderate Republicans. Republicans though, refuse to generally vote for Moderate Democrats like the other side does.

I hope you're joking, right ?

Democrats are mature and are okay with moderate Republicans. : Senators Kirk (IL) and Ayotte (NH) agree with this statement

Republicans though, refuse to generally vote for Moderate Democrats like the other side does. : That's why we have senators Tester, Manchin, Brown and Jones in the Senate (and Governors Kelly and Cooper)

1) Ayotte isn't a moderate
2) Manchin and Jones only won because they had terrible opponents (Manchin's was somewhat less terrible, but he had been a fixture in the state for years, and previously won by landslides)
3) OH and (especially) NC are nowhere near as red as Louisiana. Cooper only overperformed Clinton by about 4%, and that's because McCrory was unpopular

You didn't mention MA, MD, or VT, by the way. It's telling that Scott, Baker, and Hogan effortlessly won by double digits in a great year for Democrats, while Edwards might struggle to even win at all. And all of those states are arguably even bluer than Louisiana is red. It kind of goes against the idea that Democrats would trounce Republicans if only they were pro-life.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Edwards probably wins the run-off if he can't avoid it, but it definitely seems like there's some truth to the idea that Democrats like moderate Republicans a lot more than Republicans like moderate Democrats.

This is the crux of the thing. Democrats are mature and are okay with moderate Republicans. Republicans though, refuse to generally vote for Moderate Democrats like the other side does.

I hope you're joking, right ?

Democrats are mature and are okay with moderate Republicans. : Senators Kirk (IL) and Ayotte (NH) agree with this statement

Republicans though, refuse to generally vote for Moderate Democrats like the other side does. : That's why we have senators Tester, Manchin, Brown and Jones in the Senate (and Governors Kelly and Cooper)

Ayotte ran as tea party in 2010....

did you see what Kirk said in 2016 lmao

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Surprisingly decent it turns out