Internal Hood campaign poll (MS) : Hood leads 45/42

[Frenchrepublican]

https://mobile.twitter.com/MadelainePisani/status/1179396741172477954

Hood campaign says he is leading 45/42, previous internal polls had him winning 43/42 (August) and 45/40 (May). Not a lot of change in other words. If you are only up by 3 in your own poll, it means you’re probably down 6/7 in the reality.

[UncleSam]

Seems about right for an internal - they probably didn’t push undecided voters because they didn’t want to know, and probably had very favorable sampling margins by demographic type.

[Tender Branson]

Hood will lose by 5-8 points.

[Xing]

I still think Hood has a better chance than Beshear, but that's not saying much. Up 3 in an internal isn't great, but it's better than being down in an internal.

[Politician]

I still think Hood has a better chance than Beshear, but that's not saying much. Up 3 in an internal isn't great, but it's better than being down in an internal.

Beshear is up by a lot in his internals.

[Frenchrepublican]

I still think Hood has a better chance than Beshear, but that's not saying much. Up 3 in an internal isn't great, but it's better than being down in an internal.

Well, had Hood being down in the poll his campaign wouldn’t have published it.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Leans R.

[Xing]

I still think Hood has a better chance than Beshear, but that's not saying much. Up 3 in an internal isn't great, but it's better than being down in an internal.

Beshear is up by a lot in his internals.

We'll see if that's still true in October.

[Oryxslayer]

We're not going to get a public poll of MS, are we...

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Reeves 55%
Hood 45%

It's inevitable.

[Politician]

Reeves 55%
Hood 45%

It's inevitable.

Ah yes, Reeves will win 100% of undecideds!

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Reeves 55%
Hood 45%

It's inevitable.

Ah yes, Reeves will win 100% of undecideds!

In a state like MS, that's very likely. Actually, in most southern states the Republican ends up winning 75-90% of "undecideds".

[Politician]

Reeves 55%
Hood 45%

It's inevitable.

Ah yes, Reeves will win 100% of undecideds!

In a state like MS, that's very likely. Actually, in most southern states the Republican ends up winning 75-90% of "undecideds".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Mississippi#Polling_2

Espy matched his polling average.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Reeves 55%
Hood 45%

It's inevitable.

Ah yes, Reeves will win 100% of undecideds!

In a state like MS, that's very likely. Actually, in most southern states the Republican ends up winning 75-90% of "undecideds".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Mississippi#Polling_2

Espy matched his polling average.

Matching the polling average has nothing to do with undecideds breaking for the Republican. If anything Hood is likely to under perform his polls because he won't have the superb black turnout Espy received due to Cindy's controversial remarks.

[Frenchrepublican]

Reeves 55%
Hood 45%

It's inevitable.

Ah yes, Reeves will win 100% of undecideds!

In a state like MS, that's very likely. Actually, in most southern states the Republican ends up winning 75-90% of "undecideds".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Mississippi#Polling_2

Espy matched his polling average.

The problem is what we don’t have any polling average, we have just a few D internal polls, we don’t know if Hood is really at 45% in the reality.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Yes, Mississippi is still more likely to flip than KY. The same people arguing we should dismiss Hood’s internals have no problem accepting months old Democratic internals from Kentucky where polls have been off by double digits in most races recently

[lfromnj]

Reeves 55%
Hood 45%

It's inevitable.

Ah yes, Reeves will win 100% of undecideds!

In a state like MS, that's very likely. Actually, in most southern states the Republican ends up winning 75-90% of "undecideds".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Mississippi#Polling_2

Espy matched his polling average.

The problem is what we don’t have any polling average, we have just a few D internal polls, we don’t know if Hood is really at 45% in the reality.

He almost certainly is at 45% atleast.  Not 100% but its very likely.

[MT Treasurer]

Both KY and MS are Tossup races, but gun to my head I’d rather be Hood than Beshear for reasons discussed ad nauseam.

[Frenchrepublican]

Both KY and MS are Tossup races, but gun to my head I’d rather be Hood than Beshear for reasons discussed ad nauseam.

Sure, lol

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

I don't suppose there's any chance we'll be getting exit polls from these races? I know FOX did them in 2003 but besides that they don't usually do them during the KY/MS cycle.

[Frenchrepublican]

Reeves 55%
Hood 45%

It's inevitable.

Ah yes, Reeves will win 100% of undecideds!

In a state like MS, that's very likely. Actually, in most southern states the Republican ends up winning 75-90% of "undecideds".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Mississippi#Polling_2

Espy matched his polling average.

The problem is what we don’t have any polling average, we have just a few D internal polls, we don’t know if Hood is really at 45% in the reality.

He almost certainly is at 45% atleast.  Not 100% but its very likely.

He will almost certainly win 45% but if a neutral pollsters polled the race today (with a correct sample) I think, to be honest, that Reeves would lead 48/42 or something like that.

[MT Treasurer]

He will almost certainly win 45% but if a neutral pollsters polled the race today (with a correct sample) I think, to be honest, that Reeves would lead 48/42 or something like that.

Yes, and you are entitled to your opinion. But you also need to realize that it’s just that, an opinion.

[Frenchrepublican]

He will almost certainly win 45% but if a neutral pollsters polled the race today (with a correct sample) I think, to be honest, that Reeves would lead 48/42 or something like that.

Yes, and you are entitled to your opinion. But you also need to realize that it’s just that, an opinion.

And pretending that both races are toss-up is also nothing more than a opinion.

[MT Treasurer]

And pretending that both races are toss-up is also nothing more than a opinion.

True! We’ll find out soon enough which predictions were closer to the truth, Tossup/Tilt R or Safe R.

[Frenchrepublican]

And pretending that both races are toss-up is also nothing more than a opinion.

True! We’ll find out soon enough which predictions were closer to the truth, Tossup/Tilt R or Safe R.

For the record I have LA as tilt D (but early voting numbers are horrible for JBE), KY as lean R and MS as likely R. Nothing is safe.