October 2019: Who do you predict will be the Democratic nominee?

[Progressive Pessimist]

I said Biden in every poll similar to this one, but I think this is the first one where I'll go with Warren. I don't think Biden is out of it yet though, but Warren has been rock solid in her upwards trajectory. The same cannot be said about Biden and his very tenuous front-runner status.

[Orser67]

My tiers:

1a)Warren
1b)Biden
2a)Buttigieg
2b)Harris, Booker
2c)Sanders

Biden still has a shot, but Warren has managed to garner a large group of supporters while becoming the most popular second choice, which is a great position to be in when polling shows that only about 30% of Democratic voters support your main rival.

I honestly believe that Sanders has almost no shot of winning the nomination. He'll probably finish with more votes than any of the non-Biden/Warren candidates, but I think it's more likely that one of those candidates catches fire and wins the race. The recent health scare hasn't helped, but Sanders was always the paper tiger of this race, because he simply has limited appeal within the Democratic Party.

[Alben Barkley]

Warren.

Harris isn't catching on, Biden wasn't a particularly good choice to begin with, the party establishment will cut their own throats rather than quietly accept Bernie and everyone else is going nowhere.

By “the party establishment” do you mean “the party voters?” Because that is who has rejected Bernie. At least two-thirds of his previous supporters from 2016 (when he was also rejected by the voters) have gone to other candidates now.

Or do you mean to imply the 85%+ of the party that does not support Bernie should be held down as this old non-Democratic socialist on the verge of death is forcibly shoved down our throats and we should just “quietly accept” that? Doesn’t sound very “democratic” to me at all. Also sounds kinda rapey. But Bernie would know all about that:

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/bernie-sanders-essay/

I guess Bernouts think our “typical fantasy” is for their lord and savior to be forced upon us against our will, but I can assure you it is not.

[Grassroots]

I think Pete will come through in Iowa and that it will be a close race between him, Warren, Biden, and Sanders. I think Pete will pull through.