October 2019: Who do you predict will be the Democratic nominee?

[Horatii]

This poll will run until November 1, 2019. Candidates polling below 1% are excluded.

September's Results (change from August poll in brackets):
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=334964

1. Elizabeth Warren: 56.2% (+11%)
2. Joe Biden: 33.7% (-3.3%)
3. Bernie Sanders: 6.7% (+0.8%)
4. Andrew Yang: 2.2% (-2.2%)
5. Beto O'Rourke: 1.1% (+1.1%)
6. Pete Buttigieg: 0% (-3.7%)
7. Kamala Harris: 0% (-2.2%)
8. Cory Booker: 0% (-0.7%)
9. Tulsi Gabbard: 0% (-0.7%)
10. Julián Castro: 0% (--)
11. Amy Klobuchar : 0% (--)

Feel free to post your primary prediction maps here so this poll gets more attention.

[ElectionsGuy]

Primary victor gets decided in grey states.

[Wrong about 2024 Ghost]

Warren.

Harris isn't catching on, Biden wasn't a particularly good choice to begin with, the party establishment will cut their own throats rather than quietly accept Bernie and everyone else is going nowhere.

[President Johnson]

Joe Biden will be the nominee. He was the widest path to the nomination. While Liz and Bernie can't afford to lose Iowa and New Hampshire, Uncle Joe could. But if he wins Iowa, and the chance is at least 40%, I find it hard to see how he can be stopped.

[MT Treasurer]

Biden’s still the favorite, but Warren shouldn’t be counted out.

[For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law]

Biden by a hair, but if Warren keeps rising in the polls, I'll give the edge to her.

[Deportarian]

Said Warren since june

[redjohn]

I agree that Biden has the widest path. I'm going to be boring and say I'm just not sure, but it will be Biden, Warren, or Sanders.

[Podgy the Bear]

Biden will win it in the end.   His strength in the South gives him the edge.

[Beet]

My view is that Bernie Sanders is being underrated in all of these predictions. He is polling tied with Biden and Warren, and he has the most donors and has raised the most money, and a loyal group of media outlets behind him, but he never gets any respect. Based on the polling the guy ought to be in the mix, his odds are as good as anyone's.

[DeSantis4Prez]

Joe Biden remains the frontrunner but in my opinion Warren will win the primary. Sanders, Harris, Yang, Buttgieg will come in closeby to Biden.

[TWTown]

Going with Sanders here but I might be biased on that front.
Warren looks strong and Biden is slumping but I'm hoping for a breakthrough for Bernie in the next debates especially after he performed so mediocrely in the last debate.

[JGibson]

Warren

[RFKFan68]

My view is that Bernie Sanders is being underrated in all of these predictions. He is polling tied with Biden and Warren, and he has the most donors and has raised the most money, and a loyal group of media outlets behind him, but he never gets any respect. Based on the polling the guy ought to be in the mix, his odds are as good as anyone's.

Old people don't want him. He has polled as low as 9th with voters over the age of 65. He's not going to be the nominee.

[Stranger in a strange land]

My view is that Bernie Sanders is being underrated in all of these predictions. He is polling tied with Biden and Warren, and he has the most donors and has raised the most money, and a loyal group of media outlets behind him, but he never gets any respect. Based on the polling the guy ought to be in the mix, his odds are as good as anyone's.

Old people don't want him. He has polled as low as 9th with voters over the age of 65. He's not going to be the nominee.

It's a shame because I like him and feel that he'd be the best bet to beat Trump, and more importantly, enact reforms that would prevent a future Trump from rising, but, sadly, this.

[Horatii]

Primary victor gets decided in grey states.

If I had to make a Warren vs. Biden map it'd probably be something like this, with solid, lean, slight lean, and tossups which would determine the nominee.

[PSOL]

Biden will probably make it, with Warren as a close second in chances and rising at this point.

[Eraserhead]

Probably Biden but Warren's chances seem to be improving everyday these last few weeks after being deadlocked with Bernie for a while.

I'm not feeling too good about Bernie's odds anymore, especially after today. He remains the third most likely and somewhat underrated though.

[Orser67]

Warren, but Biden still has a strong chance, and there's still time for one of the mid-tier candidates to win.

[McGarnagle]

It will probably be Warren

I still plan to vote for Bernie if he is still in the race by the time Washington votes in the primary, and today's news has not changed that. I hope he gets well soon, and I'm sure he will.

That said, I prefer Warren to Biden.

[Horatii]

Bumping this the day before the fourth debate.

[ShadowRocket]

I wont be surprised if Biden still manages to pull it off, but I'm saying Warren.  My tentative prediction is that she sweeps IA, NH, and NV, while managing to improve her numbers with black voters enough to hold down Biden's margin of victory in SC and the other Southern states on Super Tuesday.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Warren and Julian Castro looks inevitable

[Lincoln]

Warren. Democrats talked so much about being able to beat Trump and will pick the candidate that does the worse against him. She'll underperform hard among suburban whites while losing wwc by 3:1.

[Mister Mets]

I suspect Biden is still likeliest, but it's really close between him and Warren.