AK-Sen: A GROSS opponent for Dan Sullivan

[We Live in Black and White]

Senate Leadership Fund, the top super PAC aligned with Senate Republicans, is making its first ad investment in Alaska, a state that's seen a recent influx of Democratic spending aimed at taking down Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan.

SLF will spend $1.6 million on TV, radio and digital ads there to start on Wednesday and run for 18 days, the group confirmed to NBC News.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/blog/meet-press-blog-latest-news-analysis-data-driving-political-discussion-n988541/ncrd1240383#blogHeader

Looks like someone up top has started to see writing on the wall.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AK, KS and SC are wave insurance,  so that Ds get to 51 seats before the GA runoffs. You dont want a power sharing agreement with obstructionist McConnell, with 50 votes, Sinema, Casy and Manchin are the swing voters and would orchestrate a power sharing agreement if its 50 votes only.

Power sharing agreement is what McCain orchestrated when Rs had a 51/50 Senate in 2000

[Ferguson97]

I hope we get some more polling soon, Gross seems like an underrated candidate.

[DINGO Joe]

I hope we get some more polling soon, Gross seems like an underrated candidate.

Even if you get AK polling it never means much

[GeorgiaModerate]

I hope we get some more polling soon, Gross seems like an underrated candidate.

NYT/Siena is about to poll Alaska, per Nate Cohn.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I hope we get some more polling soon, Gross seems like an underrated candidate.

NYT/Siena is about to poll Alaska, per Nate Cohn.

I'm really curious to see the results, though I hope it isn't one of those NYT polls with tons of undecides.

Anyways, I'll prolly keep this at tilt R regardless of the results of the poll.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dr Gross and Dr Bollier are Doctors during a Pandemic, they are doing well enough to have a mild upset in their respective states

[Landslide Lyndon]

Anyone watched the debate? From what I read Sullivan spent most of his time attacking Maria Cantwell.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

DONT SLEEP ON AL GROSS

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Anyone watched the debate? From what I read Sullivan spent most of his time attacking Maria Cantwell.

I watched about half an hour of it and both candidates seemed to assume the electorate was more high-information than conventional wisdom does. They started with the usual boogeymen of AOC/Schumer/corporate PACs and Sullivan later moved onto Sanders, but they spent a lot of time talking about committee assignments and giving up/taking influence in areas relevant to Alaska. Maria Cantwell was invoked a fair few times but so was Roger Wicker, who Sullivan gave up a chairmanship to in exchange for another brief.

The moderator was excellent and there was a section where they were actually quizzed on politically relevant questions, which seemed fun.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

A (probably small, but who knows?) scandal has been brewing here for Sullivan:

The race drew some national attention last month when secretly recorded videos leaked by an environmental group showed Tom Collier, the now-former CEO of a mining partnership looking to develop Alaska’s Pebble Mine, talking about his influence over Sullivan.

While Sullivan had put out a statement indicating he was opposed to the Pebble Mine project due to its environmental impact, the footage showed Collier boasting about the company’s sway over local officials and suggesting the senator was hoping to “ride out the election” and would not ultimately be an impediment to the project.

Gross has called on Sullivan to return donations from Collier. For his part, Sullivan has insisted he “unequivocally” believes the Pebble Mine project “cannot be permitted.”

“Any suggestion otherwise is either wishful thinking, a blatant mischaracterization, or a desperate attempt to secure funding for a mine that cannot move forward,” Sullivan said in a statement.

A story that old would not normally be electorally noteworthy, but perhaps there is something here. The Intercept is usually a bit trashy, but that they've picked the story up this late suggests it still has some momentum.

[GeneralMacArthur]

A (probably small, but who knows?) scandal has been brewing here for Sullivan:

The race drew some national attention last month when secretly recorded videos leaked by an environmental group showed Tom Collier, the now-former CEO of a mining partnership looking to develop Alaska’s Pebble Mine, talking about his influence over Sullivan.

While Sullivan had put out a statement indicating he was opposed to the Pebble Mine project due to its environmental impact, the footage showed Collier boasting about the company’s sway over local officials and suggesting the senator was hoping to “ride out the election” and would not ultimately be an impediment to the project.

Gross has called on Sullivan to return donations from Collier. For his part, Sullivan has insisted he “unequivocally” believes the Pebble Mine project “cannot be permitted.”

“Any suggestion otherwise is either wishful thinking, a blatant mischaracterization, or a desperate attempt to secure funding for a mine that cannot move forward,” Sullivan said in a statement.

A story that old would not normally be electorally noteworthy, but perhaps there is something here. The Intercept is usually a bit trashy, but that they've picked the story up this late suggests it still has some momentum.

They're late to the table.  Gross has been running ads with this story for months.

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1316804991198228481

[KaiserDave]

This race is approaching Tilt R

[ProgressiveModerate]

Between this, MT, KS, AK, and SC, it seems like Democrats are statistically likely to win at least one senate seat in a Trump end sup winning.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah due to fact, Leaders McConnell and Pelosi are standing their ground on the stimulus and won't force to chose until next CR is due on 12/1. Stimulus will be passed and they will make it retroactive

Daines is blocling the stimulus and has the most to lose an the incubent running against Bullock

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The official candidate page, updated 5 minutes prior to the filing deadline, now has one more write-in candidate: Karen Nanouk.

[VAR]

I was so right about this and Iowa.