AK-Sen: A GROSS opponent for Dan Sullivan

[PSOL]

Gross likely won’t win, but it will be surprisingly close. From growing urbanization and urban proportions to its entirely different political culture based on its demographics, Alaska will be a swing state by the end of the decade. The suburbs just don’t have the same population to offset these #trends.

It doesn’t help that the Alaskan GOP are just uniquely awful and unable to see the writing on the wall.

[Left Wing]

Edgar Blatchford just jumped in. He will likely lose the nomination to Gross.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is a nice pickup, but defeating Daines, Kobach and Collins are more important than AK.

[Flyersfan232]

I think Alaska is SO ignored in national politics. I mean a near nobody in Alaska politics was within spitting distance of an incumbent who has literally been in the House for more than 75% of Alaska's statehood just last year.

Sullivan underperformed the national year by 6 points (48-46 Begich) and his state's average by 13!

If Gross gets it going (and the ad looks pretty fantastic), there's a good shot here.

I mostly agree, but your first example isn't exactly unheard of in less remote Congressional races. Look at Louise Slaughter nearly losing her presumed-safe Rochester seat in 2014, for example.

Are we forgetting belgich had incrumbracy

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The Cook ratings change has been posted elsewhere, but we have details of an internal poll:

https://twitter.com/downwithtyranny/status/1271477259333853185

[Astatine]

The Cook ratings change has been posted elsewhere, but we have details of an internal poll:

https://twitter.com/downwithtyranny/status/1271477259333853185

Instead of wasting money on Amy McGrath, Democrats should really invest into Alaska. It could be worth it.

[Landslide Lyndon]

The Cook ratings change has been posted elsewhere, but we have details of an internal poll:

https://twitter.com/downwithtyranny/status/1271477259333853185

Instead of wasting money on Amy McGrath, Democrats should really invest into Alaska. It could be worth it.

Gross has more than enough money to fend for himself in a dirt cheap state like Alaska.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The Cook ratings change has been posted elsewhere, but we have details of an internal poll:

https://twitter.com/downwithtyranny/status/1271477259333853185

Instead of wasting money on Amy McGrath, Democrats should really invest into Alaska. It could be worth it.

Gross has more than enough money to fend for himself in a dirt cheap state like Alaska.

Alaska isn't "dirt cheap". It has a small population, but much of that is in places which are difficult for advertisers to reach, and that makes it extremely expensive per person (and still pretty pricey when not considering $ per person).

[Sir Mohamed]

I think Alaska is SO ignored in national politics. I mean a near nobody in Alaska politics was within spitting distance of an incumbent who has literally been in the House for more than 75% of Alaska's statehood just last year.

Sullivan underperformed the national year by 6 points (48-46 Begich) and his state's average by 13!

If Gross gets it going (and the ad looks pretty fantastic), there's a good shot here.

I mostly agree, but your first example isn't exactly unheard of in less remote Congressional races. Look at Louise Slaughter nearly losing her presumed-safe Rochester seat in 2014, for example.

Are we forgetting belgich had incrumbracy

In a year as 2014, this might actually have been a disadvantage, tbh. That said, I'm not buying this is a pure tossup, but as already mentioned, more promising than KY. It will be within single digits, but I'm convinced it will actually flip.

[LimoLiberal]

There's a GoFundMe for PPP to poll this race floating around twitter. It seems legit. I donated $10.

https://www.gofundme.com/f/letspollalaska

[ON Progressive]

There's a GoFundMe for PPP to poll this race floating around twitter. It seems legit. I donated $10.

https://www.gofundme.com/f/letspollalaska

I donated as well ($7 US which is mor or less the equivalent of 10 CAD)

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/1280384588003586048

[Oryxslayer]

Well, the fundraiser hit 5K, so the poll is happening.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/1280384588003586048

This rules

[ON Progressive]

They are also polling the Presidential and House races, poll is getting in the field today.

[wbrocks67]

The Cook ratings change has been posted elsewhere, but we have details of an internal poll:

https://twitter.com/downwithtyranny/status/1271477259333853185

I would not be surprised if almost all of these things bared out in this new PPP poll

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AZ, CO, GA, IA, ME , MT are 1st tier Bullock replaces Cal Cunningham as top tier now
AK, NC and SC are surely 2nd tier states

3 to 6 seats is certainly in the range now depending on GA special

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/1280472979516919814?s=20

[Zaybay]

Wow, election twitter is more powerful than I thought.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

pog

[Storr]

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/1280384588003586048

This rules

They now upped the stakes "to get to $8,000 to fund a second poll in another state".
Right now they're only $227 from that!

[voice_of_resistance]

Donated!

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/1280384588003586048

This rules

They now upped the stakes "to get to $8,000 to fund a second poll in another state".
Right now they're only $227 from that!

If that’s the case we need a poll of either Montana, Kansas or Texas for the senate races there.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

They got over $8,100 now.

[hurricanehink]

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/1280384588003586048

This rules

They now upped the stakes "to get to $8,000 to fund a second poll in another state".
Right now they're only $227 from that!

If that’s the case we need a poll of either Montana, Kansas or Texas for the senate races there.

Of these, I’d prefer Kansas primary and general matchups for Bollier vs Kobach and Marshall (in addition to Alaska).