Erc
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,823
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« Reply #2 on: December 24, 2005, 09:29:54 PM » |
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« Edited: December 25, 2005, 12:30:23 AM by Erc »
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First up, 1992.
Alabama: 4 D - 3 R Shaky Clinton lead--but considering Clinton is a Southerner--and none of the Democrats later defected, this state is likely to vote for the Democrats. Change from 1990: R +1, D -1
Alaska: 1 R - 0 D Solid Bush. No change from 1990.
Arizona: 3 D - 3 R Divided equally...hard to say who'd take it. Change from 1990: D+1 (census changes)
Arkansas: 2 D - 2 R Divided equally--would probably declare for their favorite son--but that would require either (now-former-Senator) Tim Hutchison or Jay W. Dickey to vote for Clinton. Change from 1990: R +1, D -1
California: 30 D - 22 R [approximately: may be off by 1 either way] Clinton solid. Change from 1990: R + 3, D + 4 (Census changes [approximate])
Colorado: 4 R - 2 D Bush secure. Change from 1990: R + 1, D - 1 (Ben Nighthorse Campbell [D] leaving)
Connecticut: 3 R - 3 D Divided. Whether one of the Republicans (such as Shays) defects, or whether the Democrats decide to vote for a candidate with more ties to their own state... Change from 1990: None.
Delaware: 1 R Bush. Change from 1990: R + 1, D - 1
Florida: 13 R - 10 D Bush. Change from 1990: D + 1, R + 3
Georgia: 7 D - 4 R Clinton. [1 Democrat later defected to the Republicans, so it's theoretically possible that given a different candidate Georgia could vote for the Republican] Change from 1990: D - 2, R + 3
Hawaii: 2 D - 0 R Clinton. No change from 1990.
Idaho: 1 D - 1 R Divided. From 1990: D - 1, R + 1
Illinois: 12 D - 8 R Clinton. From 1990: D - 2, R (no change)
Indiana: 7 D - 3 R Clinton. From 1990: R + 1, D - 1
Iowa: 4 R - 1 D Bush. From 1990: D - 1, R (no change)
Kansas: 2 R - 2 D Divided. From 1990: R - 1, D (no change)
Kentucky: 4 D - 2 R Clinton From 1990: R - 1, D (no change)
Louisiana: 4 D - 3 R Officially Clinton--but two of the Democrats (James Hayes and good ol' Billy Tauzin) defected to the Republicans in '94. As such, I'm listing it as a tossup. From 1990: R - 1, D (no change)
Maine: 1 D - 1 R Divided. No change from 1990.
Maryland: 4 D - 4 R Divided. From 1990: R + 1, D - 1
Massachusetts: 8 D - 2 R Clinton From 1990: R + 2, D - 3
Michigan: 9 D - 7 R Clinton (by one vote) From 1990: D - 2, R (no change)
Minnesota: 6 D - 2 R Clinton. No change from 1990.
Mississippi: 5 D Clinton (with no defectors) No change from 1990.
Missouri: 6 D - 3 R Clinton From 1990: R + 1, D - 1
Montana: 1 D Clinton From 1990: R - 1, D (no change)
Nebraska: 2 R - 1 D Bush No change from 1990
Nevada: 1 R - 1 D Divided No change from 1990
New Hampshire: 1 R - 1 D Divided No change from 1990
New Jersey: 7 D - 6 R Clinton (marginally) From 1990: D - 1, R no change
New Mexico: 2 R - 1 D Bush No change from 1990
New York: 18 D - 13 R Clinton ...
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