House Delegations by State (for EV tie-breaking purposes)
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  House Delegations by State (for EV tie-breaking purposes)
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Author Topic: House Delegations by State (for EV tie-breaking purposes)  (Read 1400 times)
Erc
Junior Chimp
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« on: December 24, 2005, 08:03:02 PM »

Since somebody should do this sometime...I'm going to start it now.

Of course, this situation hasn't come up since 1824--but if it were to, the general consensus is that the new Congress would deal with it (rather than the old one, as was the case in the past).  Thus, this will be by the new Congress (after 1932)--although, since Congressional races are affected by Presidential ones to some extent, I will note any major changes from the prior Congress.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1 on: December 24, 2005, 08:53:59 PM »

Unless the statute is changed, the declaring of the results would happen after the term of office of the Congress has begun, so the new Congress would be in place.
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: December 24, 2005, 09:29:54 PM »
« Edited: December 25, 2005, 12:30:23 AM by Erc »

First up, 1992.

Alabama:  4 D - 3 R
   Shaky Clinton lead--but considering Clinton is a Southerner--and none of the Democrats later defected, this state is likely to vote for the Democrats.
   Change from 1990: R +1, D -1

Alaska: 1 R - 0 D
   Solid Bush.
   No change from 1990.

Arizona: 3 D - 3 R
   Divided equally...hard to say who'd take it.
   Change from 1990: D+1 (census changes)

Arkansas: 2 D - 2 R
   Divided equally--would probably declare for their favorite son--but that would require either (now-former-Senator) Tim Hutchison or Jay W. Dickey to vote for Clinton.
   Change from 1990: R +1, D -1

California: 30 D - 22 R [approximately: may be off by 1 either way]
   Clinton solid.
   Change from 1990: R + 3, D + 4 (Census changes [approximate])

Colorado: 4 R - 2 D
   Bush secure.
   Change from 1990: R + 1, D - 1 (Ben Nighthorse Campbell [D] leaving)

Connecticut: 3 R - 3 D
   Divided.  Whether one of the Republicans (such as Shays) defects, or whether the Democrats decide to vote for a candidate with more ties to their own state...
   Change from 1990: None.

Delaware: 1 R
   Bush.
   Change from 1990: R + 1, D - 1

Florida: 13 R - 10 D
   Bush.
   Change from 1990: D + 1, R + 3

Georgia: 7 D - 4 R
   Clinton.  [1 Democrat later defected to the Republicans, so it's theoretically possible that given a different candidate Georgia could vote for the Republican]
   Change from 1990: D - 2, R + 3

Hawaii: 2 D - 0 R
   Clinton.
   No change from 1990.

Idaho: 1 D - 1 R
   Divided.
   From 1990: D - 1, R + 1

Illinois: 12 D - 8 R
   Clinton.
   From 1990: D - 2, R (no change)

Indiana: 7 D - 3 R
   Clinton.
   From 1990: R + 1, D - 1

Iowa: 4 R - 1 D
   Bush.
   From 1990: D - 1, R (no change)

Kansas: 2 R - 2 D
   Divided.
   From 1990: R - 1, D (no change)

Kentucky: 4 D - 2 R
   Clinton
   From 1990: R - 1, D (no change)

Louisiana: 4 D - 3 R
   Officially Clinton--but two of the Democrats (James Hayes and good ol' Billy Tauzin) defected to the Republicans in '94.  As such, I'm listing it as a tossup.
   From 1990: R - 1, D (no change)

Maine: 1 D - 1 R
   Divided.
   No change from 1990.

Maryland: 4 D - 4 R
   Divided.
   From 1990: R + 1, D - 1

Massachusetts: 8 D - 2 R
   Clinton
   From 1990: R + 2, D - 3

Michigan: 9 D - 7 R
   Clinton (by one vote)
   From 1990: D - 2, R (no change)

Minnesota: 6 D - 2 R
   Clinton.
   No change from 1990.

Mississippi: 5 D
   Clinton (with no defectors)
   No change from 1990.

Missouri: 6 D - 3 R
   Clinton
   From 1990: R + 1, D - 1

Montana: 1 D
   Clinton
   From 1990: R - 1, D (no change)

Nebraska: 2 R - 1 D
   Bush
   No change from 1990

Nevada: 1 R - 1 D
   Divided
   No change from 1990

New Hampshire: 1 R - 1 D
   Divided
   No change from 1990

New Jersey: 7 D - 6 R
   Clinton (marginally)
   From 1990: D - 1, R no change

New Mexico: 2 R - 1 D
   Bush
   No change from 1990

New York:  18 D - 13 R
   Clinton
   ...
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