SC-CNN: Biden +21

[Mr. Morden]

Full results:

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2019/images/09/28/rel1_sc.pdf

men:
Biden 40%
Warren 15%
Sanders 13%

women:
Biden 35%
Warren 17%
Sanders 10%

white:
Biden 29%
Warren 28%
Buttigieg 8%
Sanders 8%
O’Rourke 4%

black:
Biden 45%
Sanders 13%
Harris 6%
Steyer 5%
Warren 4%

college grad:
Biden 32%
Warren 30%
Buttigieg 6%
Sanders 5%

non-college grad:
Biden 40%
Sanders 14%
Warren 8%
Harris 4%
Steyer 4%

[Mr. Morden]

Warren is going to struggle to get enough delegates if she is at ing 4% among blacks.

Here are Warren’s #s among black voters in the last round of *national* polls though:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=328382.150
HarrisX/ScottRasmussen tracker (weekly #s):
8%

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=336933.0
Economist/YouGov:
18%

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=336926.25
Quinnipiac:
19%

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=336832.0
Emerson:
20%

So even if HarrisX is right, and YouGov, Quinnipiac, and Emerson are all too optimistic for her, that’s still better than the 4% in this poll.  So maybe it’s just black voters in the South with whom she’s struggling this much.  I guess we’ll see, as we get more polls.

[Mr. Morden]

Overlooked here is how abysmally Warren is doing with non-college voters.

I would assume the college vs. non-college divide in a South Carolina Democratic primary is going to be more correlated with race than it will be in most non-Southern states.  Or in other words, how much of Warren's weakness among non-college grads in this poll is a consequence of weakness with non-whites, as opposed to the other way around?