Another "Election maps of previous posters" thread
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  Another "Election maps of previous posters" thread
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Author Topic: Another "Election maps of previous posters" thread  (Read 3829 times)
KaiserDave
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« Reply #50 on: February 26, 2020, 07:26:50 PM »
« edited: February 26, 2020, 07:34:22 PM by KaiserDave »

I don't know Thumb well Sad

So I will do PQG and OBD

This election is uninspiring for the fringes of both parties as centrists are nominated in both parties. Independent swing voters are pulled back and forth by candidates dueling by their ability to reform, streamline, and reach across party lines for results. However, ultimately OBD's New Democrat liberal centrism is far more palatable to progressives in his party than PQG's "almost left" Republicanism to the right wing fringe of her party. Therefore, with some surprises, the map ends with a Democrat win, due to stronger base turnout. Perhaps in a less polarized time, the result would be different.




OBD: 308
PQG: 230

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FairBol
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« Reply #51 on: February 27, 2020, 04:13:06 PM »

I kind of messed up on the map....but here's the delegate counts for Oregon Blue Dog v KaiserDave (for the Democratic nomination).  Nomination is earned with 2,117 delegates

To wit:

Oregon Blue Dog: 2,596 delegates
KaiserDave: 1,936 delegates

Oregon Blue Dog is the Democratic nominee for president. 
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West_Midlander
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« Reply #52 on: April 08, 2020, 01:34:35 PM »

The race is probably lacking in scandals and is issues-based with most of the map competitive. The race is a tossup heading into Election Night. The swing states are pretty much split with the Midwest divided and Fairbol doing better in the South while KaiserDave holds onto lean and likely D states in the West.

Fairbol being from CT helps him more in New England than does KaiserDave's being from New York. CT is within single digits and NH and ME-at large flip. Fairbol probably wins the national PV by somewhere around 0.4% in what is basically the reverse 1960 (the Republican candidate wins) of our time.

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John Dule
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« Reply #53 on: April 14, 2020, 02:52:57 PM »



I think this would be a very weird primary. FairBol is the more right-wing candidate but also has appeal among northeastern moderates. West Midlander is the moderate, and he comes from the south. I think this would shake up a lot of the regional trends, with FairBol running a more Trumpist campaign while WM tries to appeal to moderates, independents, and suburbanites. Ultimately I think FairBol is more in line with the modern GOP, so I think the win goes to him, but a lot of these states could be close.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #54 on: April 17, 2020, 12:13:19 PM »


West Midlander: 416
John Dule: 122

Obviously John Dule would probably never run as a Republican but for the sake of the map he is, and he is destroyed because of his strong atheist views and libertarian worldview. However this map is pretty much junk because John Dule is not a Republican. West Midlander isn't a Democrat either but I think he's closer to them than John is to the GOP.
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thumb21
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« Reply #55 on: April 19, 2020, 05:44:48 PM »

KaiserDave runs a standard center-left campaign while John Dule runs an unapologetic Libertarian campaign. While Dule argues very strongly for his ideas, KaiserDave is seen as a more moderate and unifying figure. Dule's strong atheism hurts him quite a bit among a large number of Republican voters, especially in the South. The end result is a PV win of something like 22 points for KaiserDave.

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S019
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« Reply #56 on: April 19, 2020, 08:59:40 PM »

KaiserDave runs as the more left-wing candidate, while thumb21 runs as the more moderate option. The race is close with thumb21 doing well in the South and KaiserDave doing well in New England, the Midwest, and Pacific Northwest. The decisive moment is March 17, when AZ, FL, IL, and OH, all vote for thumb21. KaiserDave drops out on March 20 and does not win any contests after that date.


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John Dule
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« Reply #57 on: December 07, 2020, 06:08:41 AM »

I'll bump this thread, since I like these new maps a lot and there isn't currently a thread going with this exact premise.



In a Democratic Primary, three wings of the party face off against one another for the nomination-- the socialist left (represented by KaiserDave), the moderate left (Thumb), and the authoritarian left (S019). The election is competitive from beginning to end, though Thumb ultimately manages to break through at the end with a series of decisive wins in the Midwest. Phil Scott's endorsement for KaiserDave makes Vermont his best state, and he generally performs well in the urbanized coastal areas. S019 finds his best margins in states where people's favorite pastime is getting their neighbors arrested for wasting water with their sprinkler systems.
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Goldwater
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« Reply #58 on: November 11, 2023, 11:03:59 PM »

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #59 on: December 27, 2023, 03:41:06 PM »



Largely just a battle of hot v. cold, although Goldwater received a home state bounce in the PNW, and Mr. Dule barely took California.
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FEMA Camp Administrator
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« Reply #60 on: April 27, 2024, 09:28:47 AM »

2024 Democratic Primaries
With President Torie (D-NY) stepping down after a single term, his mantle in the Democratic primary would be taken up by Senator Barry Goldwater of California. A two-term senator who had been considered for the Vice Presidency four years prior, Goldwater was the insider's outsider--generally untied to the Beltway and party intrigues, but overall in-line with the Torie administration's fiscal, social, and foreign policy objectives. He had become known in recent years as a staunch supporter of American partners in Eastern Europe and the Middle East. Opposed to him was Congressman Lawrence D. Smith of Texas. A self-styled "prairie populist" and late supporter of Torie's 2020 run, Smith launched an insurgent campaign against Goldwater and Torie's fiscal moderation, charging the complacency of current and past Democratic administrations with the decline in quality of life for average Americans. While Smith and Goldwater's views on Ukraine were aligned, Smith dissented on such topics as American involvement in the Middle East, winning plaudits from left-wing activists as well as "populist" voting blocs.

Unlike in previous Democratic primaries, voting took place on a single day. While there had been many other candidates, by May 7th the only serious contenders were Goldwater and Smith. Despite Goldwater's fundraising and "big state" advantage, Smith rode to a narrow victory thanks to minority, rural, and blue-collar voters in the South, Midwest, and West. Pundits attributed this to his markedly left-wing economic stances as well as voter fatigue with foreign conflicts.

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