LA-We Ask America: Edwards 47, Rispone 23, Abraham 17

[Politician]

http://www.weaskamerica.com/surveys/louisiana-gubernatorial-election-survey-of-likely-voters

[Skill and Chance]

Interesting.  Have to think Edwards crosses 50% in the 1st round if he's sitting at 47%, but a runoff with Rispone is worse for him than a runoff with Abraham.

[MT Treasurer]

Okay, can a reputable pollster poll MS and KY now?

[Xing]

It's good for Edwards to be a decent amount above the combined total of Rispone and Abraham, though I still think it's up in the air as to whether or not he can hit 50 in the first round.

[Frenchrepublican]

Some key numbers :

Share of democrats who are undecided : 6%
Share of republicans who are undecided : 14%

Undecided voters are also largely white.

[Pollster]

Pollsters be like

[IceSpear]

Pollsters be like

KY is not competitive. MS might not be either. And even if you assume they are, there's a very high chance that LA ends up being more competitive than either of those, even if JBE wins outright on round 1. If the polls are accurate, his margin won't be very large against the combined R vote share.

[ElectionsGuy]

Some key numbers :

Share of democrats who are undecided : 6%
Share of republicans who are undecided : 14%

Undecided voters are also largely white.

This should be something that should concern Democrats' chances of winning even if Edwards looks pretty good right now. Polling in 2015 actually overestimated Republican strength but that doesn't mean the same will happen in 2019.