Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 12:47:32 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Berkeley IGS-CA: Warren 29, Biden 20, Sanders 19, Harris 8, Buttigieg 6, Beto 3  (Read 1675 times)
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 25, 2019, 07:33:42 AM »
« edited: September 25, 2019, 12:06:23 PM by Gass3268 »



Source
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,779
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2019, 07:36:39 AM »

Great poll for Warren
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,452
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2019, 08:32:17 AM »

Warren is surging everywhere after having built gradual support over months. This is a great sign for her.
Logged
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,696
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2019, 08:42:34 AM »

Reading the article, it sounds like Biden is at 20, not 22. That explains why his trendline is negative even though the numbers on the chart didn’t appear to change.

Amazing number for Warren.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2019, 08:45:48 AM »

Reading the article, it sounds like Biden is at 20, not 22. That explains why his trendline is negative even though the numbers on the chart didn’t appear to change.

Amazing number for Warren.

Correct. Biden is actually only at 20%.
Logged
OneJ
OneJ_
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,834
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2019, 09:34:30 AM »

Wow, Harris is doing poorly here.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,468
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 25, 2019, 09:53:50 AM »

I know it's early, but I think Warren will win CA by a fair margin. After that, she will definitely be the frontrunner. (if not sooner)
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 25, 2019, 10:54:05 AM »

Liz!!! Winning CA by single digits obviously won't guarantee her the nomination if she loses badly in the South, but I'm really starting to believe she might just win this thing.
Logged
McGovernForPrez
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,073


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 25, 2019, 11:30:38 AM »

Harris should just drop out at this point. If polls don't show her winning  or at least doing well in her home state then there's no way she's gonna magically be doing better in Iowa.
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 25, 2019, 04:39:31 PM »

Liz!!! Winning CA by single digits obviously won't guarantee her the nomination if she loses badly in the South, but I'm really starting to believe she might just win this thing.

She’s also improving fast with black voters though — enough that she can maybe be at least competitive in the South, more than Bernie was. If she wins big states like CA and does well elsewhere, she can definitely win.

Also yeah Harris campaign is pretty much dead now.
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,213


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 26, 2019, 02:08:35 PM »

I'll just repeat what I've been saying about Harris in these CA polls:

California is a huge state & Harris' CA strength lies entirely in San Francisco Bay. Unless you're an 20+ year statewide institution like Feinstein, you can't expect home-state advantage to mount a successful presidential [primary] campaign in California.

The same thing will occur if/when Newsom runs for President.
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,213


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 26, 2019, 02:19:28 PM »

Regional poll numbers

Other Northern CA
Warren:    30%
Sanders:   22%
Harris:      13%
Biden:      12%


San Francisco Bay Area
Warren:    35%
Biden:      16%
Sanders:   14%
Harris:      13%


Central Valley
Sanders:   27%
Warren:    24%
Biden:      20%
Harris:       8%


LA County
Warren:    27%
Biden:      21%
Sanders:   20%
Harris:       7%


Other Southern CA (Inland Empire + Imperial?)
Biden:      28%
Warren:    23%
Sanders:   17%
Harris:       6%


Orange/San Diego
Warren:     32%
Biden:       18%
Sanders:    17%
Harris:        4%
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,719
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 26, 2019, 02:35:07 PM »

Biden's not winning OK, KY or WV like some people think if those northern CA numbers are anything to go by.
Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,975


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 27, 2019, 11:53:02 AM »

Klobuchar is struggling in her home state and she has consistently won her elections in landslides. This year there just doesn't seem to be much of a favorite son/daughter boost even among established pols in their states. Even Warren in polls has been trailing in MA. 
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,905


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 27, 2019, 02:46:51 PM »

Regional poll numbers

Other Northern CA
Warren:    30%
Sanders:   22%
Harris:      13%
Biden:      12%


San Francisco Bay Area
Warren:    35%
Biden:      16%
Sanders:   14%
Harris:      13%


Central Valley
Sanders:   27%
Warren:    24%
Biden:      20%
Harris:       8%


LA County
Warren:    27%
Biden:      21%
Sanders:   20%
Harris:       7%


Other Southern CA (Inland Empire + Imperial?)
Biden:      28%
Warren:    23%
Sanders:   17%
Harris:       6%


Orange/San Diego
Warren:     32%
Biden:       18%
Sanders:    17%
Harris:        4%


It’s extremely interesting to me that sanders and warren combine for half the vote in OC

OC and SD are high income areas with professional class liberals. Interesting that labor-style, economically left wing candidates are doing well there
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 27, 2019, 03:14:56 PM »

Regional poll numbers

Other Northern CA
Warren:    30%
Sanders:   22%
Harris:      13%
Biden:      12%


San Francisco Bay Area
Warren:    35%
Biden:      16%
Sanders:   14%
Harris:      13%


Central Valley
Sanders:   27%
Warren:    24%
Biden:      20%
Harris:       8%


LA County
Warren:    27%
Biden:      21%
Sanders:   20%
Harris:       7%


Other Southern CA (Inland Empire + Imperial?)
Biden:      28%
Warren:    23%
Sanders:   17%
Harris:       6%


Orange/San Diego
Warren:     32%
Biden:       18%
Sanders:    17%
Harris:        4%


It’s extremely interesting to me that sanders and warren combine for half the vote in OC

OC and SD are high income areas with professional class liberals. Interesting that labor-style, economically left wing candidates are doing well there

Polling across the county suggest that Warren is the candidate of well to do college educated liberals.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 27, 2019, 07:00:05 PM »

This is the kind of poll which should worry the Biden camp, not their IA/NH numbers.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,072
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 29, 2019, 09:29:51 AM »

Regional poll numbers

Other Northern CA
Warren:    30%
Sanders:   22%
Harris:      13%
Biden:      12%


San Francisco Bay Area
Warren:    35%
Biden:      16%
Sanders:   14%
Harris:      13%


Central Valley
Sanders:   27%
Warren:    24%
Biden:      20%
Harris:       8%


LA County
Warren:    27%
Biden:      21%
Sanders:   20%
Harris:       7%


Other Southern CA (Inland Empire + Imperial?)
Biden:      28%
Warren:    23%
Sanders:   17%
Harris:       6%


Orange/San Diego
Warren:     32%
Biden:       18%
Sanders:    17%
Harris:        4%


It’s extremely interesting to me that sanders and warren combine for half the vote in OC

OC and SD are high income areas with professional class liberals. Interesting that labor-style, economically left wing candidates are doing well there

Two things

1. No they aren't, except for Warren.

2. A lot of these professional class jobs are unionizing anyway. Gives a bit more reason to need those sorts of pro-labor laws.


More interesting is that Bernie isn't running away with "Other NorCal", when that was his stronghold last time.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.055 seconds with 14 queries.