NV-Suffolk: Biden 23 Warren 19 Sanders 14 Harris 4
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 06:38:12 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  NV-Suffolk: Biden 23 Warren 19 Sanders 14 Harris 4
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: NV-Suffolk: Biden 23 Warren 19 Sanders 14 Harris 4  (Read 1334 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 24, 2019, 09:04:27 AM »

Dem. caucus poll of Nevada by Suffolk / USA Today / Reno Gazette-Journal:

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2019/9_24_2019_marginals_pdftxt.pdf

Biden 23%
Warren 19%
Sanders 14%
Harris 4%
Buttigieg 3%
Yang 3%
Steyer 3%
Booker 2%
Bullock 1%
O’Rourke 1%
Bennet 1%
Castro 1%
Gabbard 1%
de Blasio, Delaney, Klobuchar, Ryan, Sestak, Williamson 0%
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2019, 09:06:31 AM »

LOL Harris
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,468
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2019, 09:10:39 AM »

#Sandersdropout
Logged
rhg2052
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 827


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2019, 09:10:52 AM »

This is a November debate qualifier, right? If so, the top five have locked, Yang has 2 polls, and Steyer is on the board with 1.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,452
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2019, 09:12:18 AM »

So, Warren is positioned to potentially win all of IA, NH, and NV. Well, that would be a wrap if she manages it.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2019, 09:13:13 AM »


This coming from a guy with a Harris signature. Hilarious.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2019, 09:16:04 AM »

Who would be your 2nd choice?
Warren 19%
Biden 16%
Sanders 12%
Harris 10%
Buttigieg 7%
Booker 4%
O’Rourke 4%
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2019, 09:16:56 AM »

This is a November debate qualifier, right? If so, the top five have locked, Yang has 2 polls, and Steyer is on the board with 1.

You have to get 5% or more in an early state to get the state qualification. So this poll only helps the top 3.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,468
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2019, 09:17:12 AM »


It's a Biden v. Warren race, I said this more than once.
Logged
AngryBudgie
Rookie
**
Posts: 80
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2019, 09:19:15 AM »

So, Warren is positioned to potentially win all of IA, NH, and NV. Well, that would be a wrap if she manages it.

Not necessarily if she doesn't make inroads with black and Hispanic voters at that point. But she'd be the front runner.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2019, 09:28:01 AM »


It's a Biden v. Warren race, I said this more than once.

So I guess literally everyone else should just drop out, right?

Tell Sen. Harris to hit the bricks then. She's struggling against Andrew Yang at this point.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2019, 09:28:36 AM »

This is a November debate qualifier, right? If so, the top five have locked, Yang has 2 polls, and Steyer is on the board with 1.

You have to get 5% or more in an early state to get the state qualification. So this poll only helps the top 3.

The 3% still counts for total polling though as well. (Also DNC just announced it does count for Nov)
Logged
rhg2052
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 827


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2019, 09:28:58 AM »

This is a November debate qualifier, right? If so, the top five have locked, Yang has 2 polls, and Steyer is on the board with 1.

You have to get 5% or more in an early state to get the state qualification. So this poll only helps the top 3.

Right, but early state polls also count for regular inclusion i.e. 3% in 4 polls. It's just that getting 5% in 2 early state polls is a different way to qualify.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2019, 09:41:32 AM »

This is a November debate qualifier, right? If so, the top five have locked, Yang has 2 polls, and Steyer is on the board with 1.

You have to get 5% or more in an early state to get the state qualification. So this poll only helps the top 3.

The 3% still counts for total polling though as well. (Also DNC just announced it does count for Nov)

Got it, kinda confusing.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,623
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2019, 09:43:10 AM »

With Reid's machine at her disposal, Warren must be considered the favorite in Nevada. 
Logged
They put it to a vote and they just kept lying
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,236
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2019, 09:48:23 AM »

Queen Liz!!!
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,579
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2019, 09:53:22 AM »

A far cry from the last poll, which had Sanders leading the field.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2019, 09:54:10 AM »

A far cry from the last poll, which had Sanders leading the field.

Different pollster.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 24, 2019, 09:57:31 AM »

Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,579
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 24, 2019, 10:03:07 AM »

A far cry from the last poll, which had Sanders leading the field.

Different pollster.

Yes, but earning only half the support is quite the difference, even if it's from another pollster.
Logged
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,756


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 24, 2019, 10:08:56 AM »

So, Warren is positioned to potentially win all of IA, NH, and NV. Well, that would be a wrap if she manages it.

Gotta respect the strategy she's employed, and her team has executed it perfectly.
Logged
GeneralMacArthur
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,615
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 24, 2019, 10:18:39 AM »

With Reid's machine at her disposal, Warren must be considered the favorite in Nevada. 

Why would Reid's machine be at her disposal?
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 24, 2019, 10:22:19 AM »

Nevada often gets less attention than Iowa or New Hampshire, but I expect it could be the closest of the first four states.

So, Warren is positioned to potentially win all of IA, NH, and NV. Well, that would be a wrap if she manages it.

She'd definitely be in good shape, but she'd need to get at least 15% in SC, and preferably keep Biden's margin down to 15-20 or so.
Logged
Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,285


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 24, 2019, 10:27:56 AM »

Nevada often gets less attention than Iowa or New Hampshire, but I expect it could be the closest of the first four states.

So, Warren is positioned to potentially win all of IA, NH, and NV. Well, that would be a wrap if she manages it.

She'd definitely be in good shape, but she'd need to get at least 15% in SC, and preferably keep Biden's margin down to 15-20 or so.

If Warren wins both Iowa and New Hampshire, she and Biden would be the only candidates still seriously in the race by South Carolina. She should be getting 30% or so at least at that point, but it might be 60 Biden - 30 Warren - 10 for the field (although I think in that scenario it would look more than 50 - 40 - 10 as I don't think black voters are that loyal to Biden over Warren, especially in the context of Warren as the clear frontrunner). I don't think getting trampled in South Carolina dooms her, though; the black vote is very important but not dispositive in determining the Democratic nomination, and both Clinton and Obama had other strong bases that Biden lacks (e.g., I can't see Biden winning the Mid-Atlantic states at that point, as Clinton did, or the rural West, as Obama did).
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,798
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 24, 2019, 10:28:57 AM »

This poll helps Warren than it hurts. There is evidence now, that Sanders is starting to hurt Biden more than Warren. Once Warren wins IA and NH and NV, Cali is all she needs to certainly win nomination
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.048 seconds with 14 queries.