"If the Loser Won" 2016 Election

[DylanSH99]

In 2012, Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama to become the 45th President of the United States. On March 2, 2011, President Romney announced that he will run for re-election. Can he win a second term in 2016?

Republican Candidates:
(I) President Mitt Romney (UT)
Favorability in the party: 65.4%

Democratic Candidates:
Secretary Hillary Clinton (NY) - announced January 16, 2015 in NYC
Senator Bernie Sanders (VT) - announced February 1, 2015 in Burlington
Governor Martin O’Malley (MD) - announced March 22, 2015 in Baltimore
Vice President Joe Biden (DE) - announced April 15, 2015 in Wilmington
Senator Jim Webb (VA) - announced May 29, 2015 in Virginia Beach

First Democratic Poll:
Clinton: 41% (+17)
Sanders: 24%
Biden: 13%
O’Malley: 2%
Webb: 1%

National Poll:
Democrats: 49.2% (+9.1)
Romney: 40.1%

December 2015 Power Ranking Poll (Who had the best month?)
Clinton: 50%
Sanders: 21%
Biden: 12%
O’Malley: 11%
Webb: 6%

[DylanSH99]

Iowa Caucus (51 delegates)
Joe Biden: 41.3% (31 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 26.4% (20 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 14%
Martin O'Malley: 12%
Jim Webb: 6%

BREAKING NEWS
O'MALLEY OUT: Governor Martin O’Malley has announced that he is withdrawing from the 2016 campaign after finishing in 4th place in Iowa with 12% of the vote. He is considering endorsing Vice President Biden.

WEBB WITHDRAWS: Senator Jim Webb has also announced that he is withdrawing from the 2016 campaign after finishing in 5th place in Iowa with 6% of the vote. He is considering endorsing Vice President Biden.

New Hampshire Primary (32 delegates)
Joe Biden: 65.1% (21 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 17.6% (6 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 17.3% (5 delegates)

Results:
Joe Biden: 55.5% (52 delegates)
Hillary Clinton: 21% (25 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 16% (6 delegates)

[DylanSH99]

Nevada Caucus (43 delegates)
Joe Biden: 69.3% (31 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 26.3% (12 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 4.4%

April 2016 Power Ranking Poll (Who had the best month?)
Biden: 65%
Clinton: 35%

Alabama Primary (60 delegates)
Joe Biden: 48.5% (32 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 41.3% (28 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 10.2%

Arkansas Primary (37 delegates)
Joe Biden: 63.6% (27 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 22.9% (10 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 13.4%

Colorado Caucus (78 delegates)
Joe Biden: 59.4% (51 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 30.7% (27 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 9.9%

Georgia Primary (117 delegates)
Joe Biden: 50% (58 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 30.7% (36 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 19.3% (23 delegates)

Massachusetts Primary (115 delegates)
Joe Biden: 70% (89 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 20.9% (26 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 9.1%

Minnesota Caucus (93 delegates)
Joe Biden: 66.8% (66 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 27.7% (27)
Bernie Sanders: 5.5%

Oklahoma Primary (42 delegates)
Joe Biden: 64.7% (31 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 22.6% (11 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 12.7%

South Carolina Primary (59 delegates)
Joe Biden: 70% (44 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 23% (15 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 7%

Tennessee Primary (75 delegates)
Joe Biden: 50.4% (43 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 36.6% (32 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 13%

Texas Primary (251 delegates)
Joe Biden: 69.7% (188 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 23.2% (63 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 7.1%

Vermont Primary (26 delegates)
Joe Biden: 57.7% (15 delegates) ✓
Bernie Sanders: 26.8% (7 delegates)
Hillary Clinton: 15.6% (4 delegates)

Virginia Primary (108 delegates)
Joe Biden: 74.6% (86 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 19.1% (22 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 6.3%

BREAKING NEWS
SANDERS OUT: Senator Bernie Sanders has announced that he is withdrawing from the 2016 election after finishing in 3rd place in Virginia with 6% of the vote. He is considering endorsing Secretary Clinton.

Results:
Joe Biden: 64% (813 delegates)
Hillary Clinton: 24.9% (338 delegates)

[DylanSH99]

UPDATE: I have midterms coming up and have been very busy and will get back to this timeline as soon as I can. Stay tuned!

[DylanSH99]

Democrats Abroad Caucus (17 delegates)
Joe Biden: 67.4% (11 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 32.6% (6 delegates)

Kansas Caucus (37 delegates)
Joe Biden: 67.6% (25 delegates) v
Hillary Clinton: 32.4% (12 delegates)

Louisiana Primary (59 delegates)
Joe Biden: 63.2% (37 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 36.8% (22 delegates)

Maine Caucus (30 delegates)
Joe Biden: 72.6% (22 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 27.4% (8 delegates)

Michigan Primary (147 delegates)
Joe Biden: 73.9% (109 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 26.1% (38 delegates)

Mississippi Primary (41 delegates)
Joe Biden: 68.8% (28 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 31.2% (13 delegates)

Nebraska Caucus (30 delegates)
Joe Biden: 66.5% (20 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 33.5% (10 delegates)

Results:
Joe Biden: 65.5% (1,065 delegates)
Hillary Clinton: 25.8% (447 delegates)

American Samoa Caucus (11 delegates)
Joe Biden: 63.3% (7 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 36.7% (4 delegates)

Florida Primary (247 delegates)
Joe Biden: 70.3% (174 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 29.7% (73 delegates)

Illinois Primary (183 delegates)
Joe Biden: 66% (121 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 34% (62 delegates)

Missouri Primary (84 delegates)
Joe Biden: 79.1% (66 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 20.9% (18 delegates)

North Carolina Primary (120 delegates)
Joe Biden: 72.5% (87 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 27.5% (33 delegates)

Northern Mariana Islands Caucus (11 delegates)
Joe Biden: 63.5% (7 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 36% (4 delegates)

Ohio Primary (160 delegates)
Joe Biden: 74.4% (119 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 25.6% (41 delegates)

Results:
Joe Biden: 67.9% (1,646 delegates)
Hillary Clinton: 27.2% (682 delegates)

[DylanSH99]

Arizona Primary (85 delegates)
Joe Biden: 67% (57 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 33% (28 delegates)

Idaho Caucus (27 delegates)
Joe Biden: 78.6% (21 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 21.4% (6 delegates)

Utah Caucus (37 delegates)
Joe Biden: 80.1% (30 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 19.9% (7 delegates)

Results:
Joe Biden: 67.9% (1,754 delegates)
Hillary Clinton: 27.3% (723 delegates)

[DylanSH99]

UPDATE: I will be posting again soon!

[DylanSH99]

NEW UPDATE: Hey everyone. I've been real busy with work and school (midterms), so I'm not sure when I'll be able to update the timeline but hopefully really soon!

[DylanSH99]

UPDATE: Hey everyone, I'm back! I've been so busy but I want to keep this timeline alive and provide you with the rest of the election results. I'll try to be posting at least once or twice a day. Enjoy!

Alaska Caucus (20 delegates)
Joe Biden: 70.8% (14 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 29.2% (6 delegates)

Hawaii Caucus (35 delegates)
Joe Biden: 72.1% (25 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 27.9% (10 delegates)

Washington Caucus (118 delegates)
Joe Biden: 77.2% (91 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 22.8% (27 delegates)

Results:
Joe Biden: 68% (1,884 delegates)
Hillary Clinton: 27.3% (766 delegates)

Wisconsin Primary (96 delegates)
Joe Biden: 78.8% (76 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 21.2% (20 delegates)

Wyoming Caucus (18 delegates)
Joe Biden: 72.5% (13 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 27.5% (5) delegates)

Results:
Joe Biden: 68.6% (1,973 delegates)
Hillary Clinton: 27% (791 delegates)

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Not bad, but wouldn't the Democratic field be larger in a Romney wins scenario?

[DylanSH99]

Not bad, but wouldn't the Democratic field be larger in a Romney wins scenario?

Maybe, but I'm not going with a larger field of candidates because the program I am using would crash, so I'm sticking with the main candidates.

[DylanSH99]

New York Primary (291 delegates)
Joe Biden: 80.9% (235 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 19.1% (56 delegates)

Connecticut Primary (71 delegates)
Joe Biden: 75.1% (53 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 24.9% (18 delegates)

Delaware Primary (32 delegates)
Joe Biden: 80.6% (26 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 19.4% (6 delegates)

Maryland Primary (119 delegates)
Joe Biden: 74.6% (89 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 25.4% (30 delegates)

Pennsylvania Primary (209 delegates)
Joe Biden: 66.1% (138 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 33.9% (71 delegates)

Rhode Island Primary (33 delegates)
Joe Biden: 75.1% (25 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 24.9% (8 delegates)

BREAKING NEWS
CLINTON OUT: Secretary Hillary Clinton has announced that she is withdrawing from the 2016 election after finishing in 2nd place in Rhode Island with 25% of the vote. She is endorsing Vice President Biden.

Democratic Nomination Results:
Joe Biden: 78.3% (3,749 delegates) ✓
Hillary Clinton: 19.2% (980 delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 2.4% (36 delegates)
Martin O'Malley: 0.1% (0 delegates)
Jim Webb: 0% (0 delegates)

[JoeyOCanada]

Not bad, but wouldn't the Democratic field be larger in a Romney wins scenario?

Maybe, but I'm not going with a larger field of candidates because the program I am using would crash, so I'm sticking with the main candidates.

Just curious as to what program you're using? Great job by the way, really enjoying it!

[DylanSH99]

Not bad, but wouldn't the Democratic field be larger in a Romney wins scenario?

Maybe, but I'm not going with a larger field of candidates because the program I am using would crash, so I'm sticking with the main candidates.

Just curious as to what program you're using? Great job by the way, really enjoying it!

I'm using President Infinity and incorporating data to make alternative elections and thanks! I really appreciate it.

[DylanSH99]

2016 Republican National Convention
For President: President Mitt Romney of Utah
For Vice President: Vice President Paul Ryan of Wisconsin

2016 Democratic National Convention
For President: Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware
For Vice President: Senator Mark Warner of Virginia

First Poll:
Romney: 40.6%
Biden: 39.6%
Undecided: 19.8%

[DylanSH99]

Welcome to Election Night 2016!

Will President Mitt Romney be the first Republican president re-elected for a second term in 12 years? Or will Vice President Joe Biden make up for President Obama’s loss four years ago?

6PM Poll Closings:
Indiana (11 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,705,572 (54.4%) ✓
Biden: 1,430,946 (45.6%)

Kentucky (8 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,248,580 (60.3%) ✓
Biden: 821,520 (39.7%)

Results:
Romney: 19 electoral votes
Biden: 0 electoral votes

7PM Poll Closings:
Florida (29 electoral votes)
Romney: 4,736,200 (53.8%) ✓
Biden: 4,067,560 (46.2%)

Georgia (16 electoral votes)
Romney: 2,459,735 (56%) ✓
Biden: 1,934,093 (44%)

South Carolina (9 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,336,086 (59%) ✓
Biden: 927,738 (41%)

Virginia (13 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,969,723 (51.5%) ✓
Biden: 1,855,970 (48.5%)

Vermont (3 electoral votes)
Biden: 185,878 (57.5%) ✓
Romney: 137,669 (42.5%)

Results:
Romney: 86 electoral votes
Biden: 3 electoral votes

[DylanSH99]

7:30PM Poll Closings:
Ohio (18 electoral votes)
Romney: 2,931,900 (52.6%) ✓
Biden: 2,644,800 (47.4%)

West Virginia (5 electoral votes)
Romney: 515,488 (56.1%) ✓
Biden: 403,992 (43.9%)

Results:
Romney: 109 electoral votes
Biden: 3 electoral votes

8PM Poll Closings:
Massachusetts (11 electoral votes)
Biden: 1,857,100 (60.1%) ✓
Romney: 1,229,900 (39.9%)

Maryland (10 electoral votes)
Biden: 1,473,422 (56.5%) ✓
Romney: 1,135,328 (43.5%)

Maine (4 electoral votes)
Biden: 338,334 (51.1%) ✓
Romney: 323,578 (48.9%)

Michigan (16 electoral votes)
Biden: 2,401,425 (50.6%) ✓
Romney: 2,342,313 (49.4%)

Missouri (10 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,574,937 (53.8%) ✓
Biden: 1,355,074 (46.2%)

Mississippi (6 electoral votes)
Romney: 828,873 (60.3%) ✓
Biden: 544,563 (39.7%)

New Hampshire (4 electoral votes)
Romney: 345,088 (51.7%) ✓
Biden: 322,560 (48.3%)

New Jersey (14 electoral votes)
Biden: 2,036,373 (54.1%) ✓
Romney: 1,724,009 (45.9%)

Alabama (9 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,441,572 (63.7%) ✓
Biden: 821,194 (36.3%)

Oklahoma (7 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,162,980 (64.5%) ✓
Biden: 639,639 (35.5%)

Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes)
Romney: 3,085,236 (50.9%) ✓
Biden: 2,978,514 (49.1%)

Connecticut (7 electoral votes)
Biden: 1,005,030 (59.7%) ✓
Romney: 677,751 (40.3%)

South Dakota (3 electoral votes)
Romney: 243,036 (60.1%) ✓
Biden: 161,396 (39.9%)

Tennessee (11 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,789,320 (58.4%) ✓
Biden: 1,274,650 (41.6%)

Texas (38 electoral votes)
Romney: 6,538,168 (62.1%) ✓
Biden: 3,986,281 (37.9%)

Illinois (20 electoral votes)
Biden: 3,127,476 (55.2%) ✓
Romney: 2,543,321 (44.8%)

Washington, DC (3 electoral votes)
Biden: 266,310 (86.9%) ✓
Romney: 40,095 (13.1%)

Delaware (3 electoral votes)
Biden: 289,425 (67.2%) ✓
Romney: 141,648 (32.8%)

Results:
Romney: 217 electoral votes
Biden: 91 electoral votes

[DylanSH99]

8:30PM Poll Closings:
Arkansas (6 electoral votes)
Romney: 817,740 (60.8%) ✓
Biden: 526,752 (39.2%)

North Carolina (15 electoral votes)
Romney: 2,310,768 (51%) ✓
Biden: 2,225,184 (49%)

Results:
Romney: 238 electoral votes
Biden: 91 electoral votes

[DylanSH99]

9PM Poll Closings:
Colorado (9 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,214,442 (50.1%) ✓
Biden: 1,210,623 (49.9%)

Rhode Island (4 electoral votes)
Biden: 280,440 (57.5%) ✓
Romney: 207,214 (42.5%)

Nebraska (5 electoral votes)
Romney: 534,660 (61.8%) ✓
Biden: 331,170 (38.2%)

Louisiana (8 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,279,017 (60.9%) ✓
Biden: 819,108 (39.1%)

Minnesota (10 electoral votes)
Biden: 1,305,795 (51.3%) ✓
Romney: 1,238,730 (48.7%)

New Mexico (5 electoral votes)
Romney: 445,160 (50%) ✓
Biden: 443,724 (50%)

New York (29 electoral votes)
Biden: 4,733,487 (55.6%) ✓
Romney: 3,784,077 (44.4%)

Arizona (11 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,586,464 (55.5%) ✓
Biden: 1,270,974 (44.5%)

Wisconsin (10 electoral votes)
Romney: 1,381,860 (51.3%) ✓
Biden: 1,313,620 (48.7%)

Kansas (6 electoral votes)
Romney: 831,501 (62.5%) ✓
Biden: 498,492 (37.5%)

Wyoming (3 electoral votes)
Romney: 196,185 (69.6%)
Biden: 85,695 (30.4%)

Results:
Romney: 295 electoral votes ✓
Biden: 134 electoral votes

BREAKING NEWS:
ROMNEY RE-ELECTED: President Mitt Romney has been re-elected as the 45th President of the United States, defeating Vice President Joe Biden. Paul Ryan was also re-elected as the 48th Vice President of the United States, defeating Senator Mark Warner.

[DylanSH99]

10PM Poll Closings:
Oregon (7 electoral votes)
Romney: 916,158 (50.3%) ✓
Biden: 904,634 (49.7%)

Utah (6 electoral votes)
Romney: 791,154 (65.2%) ✓
Biden: 422,331 (34.8%)

North Dakota (3 electoral votes)
Romney: 231,336 (64.3%) ✓
Biden: 128,709 (35.7%)

Nevada (6 electoral votes)
Romney: 616,722 (50.2%) ✓
Biden: 611,064 (49.8%)

Idaho (4 electoral votes)
Romney: 492,312 (68.5%) ✓
Biden: 225,924 (31.5%)

Montana (3 electoral votes)
Romney: 291,510 (56.3%) ✓
Biden: 226,730 (43.7%)

Iowa (6 electoral votes)
Romney: 727,360 (51.5%) ✓
Biden: 686,446 (48.5%)

Results:
Romney: 330 electoral votes ✓
Biden: 134 electoral votes