2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 187095 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #650 on: June 14, 2020, 08:57:24 PM »
Great news for our 3 Dem incumbents. Scholten can run for Gov or run for Senate in 2022. He is a rising star, even if he loses this yr
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Holmes
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« Reply #651 on: June 15, 2020, 02:08:06 PM »
I’m assuming Iowa’s presidential numbers will release in about 4 hours from now, the same time they released the past two days. Based on the numbers we’ve already seen, I’m expecting Biden up anywhere from 2 to 5 points.
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colincb
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« Reply #652 on: June 15, 2020, 07:51:03 PM »
Trump 44-43 among likely voters. Trump won by 9, so an 8 point swing and a big change since March when Trump led 51-41. Might help Trump that IA is a major producer of soybeans (usually #1 or #2) and is dependent on the dole now because of the disastrous China trade war.

Tossup.

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/06/15/iowa-poll-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden-1-point/3178743001/
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ucscgaldamez1
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« Reply #653 on: June 16, 2020, 09:11:03 AM »
We need more polls from Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #654 on: June 16, 2020, 10:14:45 AM »
Quote from: ucscgaldamez1 on June 16, 2020, 09:11:03 AM
We need more polls from Pennsylvania and Wisconsin

Especially PA. Last high quality one was from Fox in APRIL
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #655 on: June 16, 2020, 10:35:19 AM »
Are the guys at PPP still doing this thing where they ask their followers to choose which state to poll next?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #656 on: June 16, 2020, 11:09:41 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 16, 2020, 10:35:19 AM
Are the guys at PPP still doing this thing where they ask their followers to choose which state to poll next?

Not this year so far.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #657 on: June 16, 2020, 11:19:25 AM »
Marist has been oddly silent this year. They were doing a ton of state polling in 2016 and 2018
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #658 on: June 16, 2020, 11:32:14 AM »
Quote from: colincb on June 15, 2020, 07:51:03 PM
Trump 44-43 among likely voters. Trump won by 9, so an 8 point swing and a big change since March when Trump led 51-41. Might help Trump that IA is a major producer of soybeans (usually #1 or #2) and is dependent on the dole now because of the disastrous China trade war.

Tossup.

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/06/15/iowa-poll-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden-1-point/3178743001/



Republicans got slaughtered in IA in the midterms. Poll numbers showing IA as a tossup should surprise no one.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #659 on: June 16, 2020, 06:05:08 PM »
Quote from: ucscgaldamez1 on June 16, 2020, 09:11:03 AM
We need more polls from Pennsylvania and Wisconsin

Same with Minnesota. I don't expect Trump to be leading there, but I am genuinely curious about how the state looks post-Floyd. I doubt it will be much different, but still, at least that would put an end to those who think the state is more competitive because of the demonstrations across the country if a poll does indeed turn out that way.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #660 on: June 17, 2020, 05:29:25 PM »

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #661 on: June 17, 2020, 05:33:56 PM »
Looks like we'll have Q-pac tomorrow
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #662 on: June 17, 2020, 05:39:54 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 17, 2020, 05:33:56 PM
Looks like we'll have Q-pac tomorrow
Link?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #663 on: June 17, 2020, 06:26:14 PM »

Their poll today starts with question #34

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3663
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Gass3268
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« Reply #664 on: June 17, 2020, 07:01:16 PM »
New Marquette Wisconsin Poll next week.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #665 on: June 18, 2020, 11:30:32 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 17, 2020, 05:33:56 PM
Looks like we'll have Q-pac tomorrow

Confirmed.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #666 on: June 19, 2020, 10:51:48 AM »
A poster at Daily Kos Elections informs us that new Siena/NYT Upshot battleground state polls are in the field right now.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #667 on: June 19, 2020, 10:59:28 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 19, 2020, 10:51:48 AM
A poster at Daily Kos Elections informs us that new Siena/NYT Upshot battleground state polls are in the field right now.

Did it mention which states?
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #668 on: June 19, 2020, 01:10:39 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 19, 2020, 10:51:48 AM
A poster at Daily Kos Elections informs us that new Siena/NYT Upshot battleground state polls are in the field right now.
Link?
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #669 on: June 19, 2020, 04:02:12 PM »
Quote from: #Bidenworth2020 on June 19, 2020, 01:10:39 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 19, 2020, 10:51:48 AM
A poster at Daily Kos Elections informs us that new Siena/NYT Upshot battleground state polls are in the field right now.
Link?

This weekend? Results will probably appear in the middle of next week.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #670 on: June 19, 2020, 04:02:44 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on June 19, 2020, 04:02:12 PM
Quote from: #Bidenworth2020 on June 19, 2020, 01:10:39 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 19, 2020, 10:51:48 AM
A poster at Daily Kos Elections informs us that new Siena/NYT Upshot battleground state polls are in the field right now.
Link?

This weekend? Results will probably appear in the middle of next week.
I meant to the source saying NYT is conducting these polls.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #671 on: June 19, 2020, 04:05:48 PM »
Has Nate Cohn revealed if Siena is doing the live polls again this fall?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #672 on: June 19, 2020, 04:08:04 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 19, 2020, 04:05:48 PM
Has Nate Cohn revealed if Siena is doing the live polls again this fall?

I've seen nothing about this one way or the other from him on Twitter.
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Holmes
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« Reply #673 on: June 19, 2020, 04:33:44 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 19, 2020, 04:05:48 PM
Has Nate Cohn revealed if Siena is doing the live polls again this fall?

This was too stressful.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #674 on: June 20, 2020, 12:36:20 AM »
Quote from: #Bidenworth2020 on June 19, 2020, 01:10:39 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 19, 2020, 10:51:48 AM
A poster at Daily Kos Elections informs us that new Siena/NYT Upshot battleground state polls are in the field right now.
Link?

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/6/19/1952803/-Daily-Kos-Elections-Live-Digest-6-19#comment_77684439
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