2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 187171 times)
pbrower2a
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« Reply #1125 on: September 16, 2020, 03:53:06 AM »
Quote from: Rep Jessica on September 14, 2020, 04:04:34 PM
I'll be Trump +3

Trump will win Florida, Ga and Nc easily.

Not likely.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #1126 on: September 16, 2020, 10:10:17 AM »
https://twitter.com/quinnipiacpoll/status/1306247791904129026?s=21


Guesses
SC:Trump+10
ME: Biden +8

Ky:Trump+19
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1127 on: September 16, 2020, 10:11:40 AM »
« Edited: September 16, 2020, 12:13:07 PM by wbrocks67 »
Their last results from 8/6:

Kentucky:
Trump 50, Biden 41
McConnell 49, McGrath 44

Maine:
Biden 52, Trump 37
Gideon 47, Collins 43

South Carolina:
Trump 47, Biden 42
Harrison 44, Graham 44
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1128 on: September 16, 2020, 10:15:32 AM »
KY: Trump+13
ME: Biden+14 (Biden+2 in the 2nd CD)
SC: Trump+9

McConnell+14, Gideon+8, Graham+4.
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redjohn
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« Reply #1129 on: September 16, 2020, 10:51:17 AM »
Really interested in the ME polls for POTUS and Senate. Hoping Gideon leads by high-single digits and Biden has a strong lead there.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1130 on: September 16, 2020, 11:03:02 AM »
Quote from: redjohn on September 16, 2020, 10:51:17 AM
Really interested in the ME polls for POTUS and Senate. Hoping Gideon leads by high-single digits and Biden has a strong lead there.

IMO whether she is above 45%/50% matters much more than her lead at this point given that the Fabrizio poll suggested undecided voters were leaning heavily towards Collins.

I'd also like to see more pollsters grapple with RCV and publish 1st ballot/2nd ballot toplines.
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Pollster
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« Reply #1131 on: September 16, 2020, 11:44:45 AM »
The last set of Quinnipiac polls for this set of states was registered voters, the ones coming today appear to be likely voter polls.

Please keep this in mind when analyzing the trends, I shout into the Atlas void.
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It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
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« Reply #1132 on: September 16, 2020, 12:30:37 PM »
If they follow the same modus operandi as in previous months, we should have a national ABC News/WaPo poll tomorrow (conducted between Saturday and Tuesday).
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #1133 on: September 16, 2020, 12:30:42 PM »
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1134 on: September 16, 2020, 01:10:43 PM »
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republican1993
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« Reply #1135 on: September 16, 2020, 01:21:10 PM »
New Monmouth Arizona Poll tomorrow - i'm predicting +6 Biden
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Rep Jessica
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« Reply #1136 on: September 16, 2020, 01:32:31 PM »
Quote from: republican1993 on September 16, 2020, 01:21:10 PM
New Monmouth Arizona Poll tomorrow - i'm predicting +6 Biden


+2 Biden
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1137 on: September 16, 2020, 01:52:45 PM »
The guy behind the ABC/Wapo polls tweeted today these were the first "batch" so I presume they'll be having some more... not sure the time frame though
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forza nocta
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« Reply #1138 on: September 16, 2020, 02:25:52 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 16, 2020, 01:52:45 PM
The guy behind the ABC/Wapo polls tweeted today these were the first "batch" so I presume they'll be having some more... not sure the time frame though


Whats the pollster’s Twitter @?
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #1139 on: September 16, 2020, 04:14:19 PM »
Are we ever going to get any more polls from Pennsylvania?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1140 on: September 16, 2020, 04:16:38 PM »
Quote from: republican1993 on September 16, 2020, 01:21:10 PM
New Monmouth Arizona Poll tomorrow - i'm predicting +6 Biden

Biden+5
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1141 on: September 16, 2020, 04:19:51 PM »

Biden+7
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #1142 on: September 16, 2020, 04:52:14 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1143 on: September 16, 2020, 05:10:04 PM »
Quote from: The Other Castro on September 16, 2020, 04:52:14 PM


Biden+3
Cunningham+5 if they include the Senate race
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forza nocta
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« Reply #1144 on: September 16, 2020, 08:46:10 PM »
« Edited: September 16, 2020, 10:04:15 PM by forza nocta »
New NYT/Siena Maine poll coming in a few days.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1145 on: September 17, 2020, 05:19:18 AM »
Quote from: forza nocta on September 16, 2020, 02:25:52 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 16, 2020, 01:52:45 PM
The guy behind the ABC/Wapo polls tweeted today these were the first "batch" so I presume they'll be having some more... not sure the time frame though


Whats the pollster’s Twitter @?

found it!

https://twitter.com/rickklein/status/1306180237902991360
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forza nocta
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« Reply #1146 on: September 17, 2020, 02:31:37 PM »


Midwest Civiqs polls tomorrow
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #1147 on: September 17, 2020, 02:38:42 PM »
Quote from: forza nocta on September 17, 2020, 02:31:37 PM


Midwest Civiqs polls tomorrow

Ohio
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #1148 on: September 17, 2020, 08:17:36 PM »
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n1240
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« Reply #1149 on: September 17, 2020, 08:21:35 PM »
Quote from: The Other Castro on September 17, 2020, 08:17:36 PM


Also oversample in ME-02 + house race.
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