2020 Poll Hype Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 01:54:19 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Poll Hype Thread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 39 40 41 42 43 [44] 45 46 47 48 49 ... 99
Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 187155 times)
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,228


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1075 on: September 11, 2020, 03:05:22 PM »
Would love if NYT/Siena did weekly polls now heading into the election.

Has Nate spoken about if they're doing the live polls again?
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,228


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1076 on: September 11, 2020, 03:05:50 PM »
Quote from: soundchaser on September 11, 2020, 02:45:14 PM
I'd have preferred PA or TX over NH, but I guess I shouldn't complain. Seems like these will be pretty definitive as to the state of the race generally.

It's possible they're putting out a few tomorrow and then a few after that maybe?
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,707


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1077 on: September 11, 2020, 03:06:06 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 11, 2020, 03:05:22 PM
Would love if NYT/Siena did weekly polls now heading into the election.

Has Nate spoken about if they're doing the live polls again?

He has said they are not doing the live polls this year.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,228


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1078 on: September 11, 2020, 03:39:23 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on September 11, 2020, 03:06:06 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on September 11, 2020, 03:05:22 PM
Would love if NYT/Siena did weekly polls now heading into the election.

Has Nate spoken about if they're doing the live polls again?

He has said they are not doing the live polls this year.

That's unfortunate. Hopefully they have enough NYT/Siena battleground polls then.
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,293


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1079 on: September 11, 2020, 03:39:39 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 11, 2020, 02:42:55 PM


I expect Biden ahead in all four.
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1080 on: September 11, 2020, 03:53:32 PM »
Quote from: American2020 on September 11, 2020, 02:57:11 PM


Wisconsin: Biden +5
Minnesota: Biden +8
Nevada: Biden +3
New Hampshire: Biden +10

MN-Sen: Smith +9
NH-Sen: Shaheen +15
NH-Gov: Sununu +24
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,707


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1081 on: September 11, 2020, 03:55:07 PM »
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,855
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1082 on: September 11, 2020, 03:56:38 PM »
Before anyone gets too excited, a reminder that their last NV polls two years ago were Heller +2 and Laxalt +1.
Logged
YE
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,745


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1083 on: September 11, 2020, 03:57:55 PM »
Preparing myself for the worst.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1084 on: September 11, 2020, 04:03:58 PM »

Hopefully Atlas will remain calm, reasonable, and will approach the polls objectively with out any overreaction. We’re all mature individuals here, aren’t we?


Oh who am I kidding, if the poll is Biden+3 or something, we’ll have 9 pages in less than 10 hours
Logged
An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,747
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1085 on: September 11, 2020, 04:51:47 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on September 11, 2020, 03:56:38 PM
Before anyone gets too excited, a reminder that their last NV polls two years ago were Heller +2 and Laxalt +1.

Keep Calm and Trust Ralston
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,685


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1086 on: September 11, 2020, 05:51:12 PM »
I'm trying to think of the worst poll combination that would cause the biggest freakout. Biden+2 in NV, Biden+1 in WI, Biden+2 in MN, and Biden+4 in NH?
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,228


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1087 on: September 11, 2020, 07:27:58 PM »
At least we know the polls are *new* though since they're still in the field today. Most polls we've gotten are barely post-military comments
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,213


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1088 on: September 12, 2020, 03:41:30 AM »
My predictions in order of how intrigued I am in the state poll

1.   NV:   Biden +1
2.   NH:   Biden +6
3.    WI:   Biden +4
4.  MN:   Biden +7

Deliberately setting myself fairly low.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1089 on: September 12, 2020, 03:43:13 AM »
NV: Biden+7
MN: Biden+11
WI: Biden+9
NH: Biden+7
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,141
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1090 on: September 12, 2020, 04:41:47 AM »
NV: Biden+5
MN: Biden+8
WI: Biden+8
NH: Biden+9
Logged
Granite City
Rookie
**
Posts: 139
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: -2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1091 on: September 12, 2020, 06:10:43 AM »

Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,707


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1092 on: September 12, 2020, 06:49:45 AM »
More on the upcoming Siena polls, which should be imminent:
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1093 on: September 12, 2020, 06:57:51 AM »
My god, the samples on these are ridiculous. Biden will be lucky to not be behind in all four states.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,228


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1094 on: September 12, 2020, 07:11:41 AM »
Yeah, so NH is really the only composite that is accurate.

Wisconsin being Trump +6 is really ridiculous.

If these end up being wonky, then that will be exactly why. But I'll hold judgement since the June polls had AZ for example like Trump +10 no the vote but I think still with a Biden good lead.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,707


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1095 on: September 12, 2020, 07:11:54 AM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on September 12, 2020, 06:57:51 AM
My god, the samples on these are ridiculous. Biden will be lucky to not be behind in all four states.

Nope, Biden leads in all: NH+3, NV+4, WI+5, MN+9.  See the polling subforum for more details.
Logged
SaneDemocrat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,340


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1096 on: September 12, 2020, 08:24:42 AM »
ONU/BW/Oakland U in the field in OH, WI, MI, and PA, UNF in the field in FL
Logged
republican1993
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 388
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1097 on: September 12, 2020, 01:59:11 PM »
Quote from: SaneDemocrat on September 12, 2020, 08:24:42 AM
ONU/BW/Oakland U in the field in OH, WI, MI, and PA, UNF in the field in FL

What were the results the last time they polled these states in OH, WI, MI, PA?
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,228


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1098 on: September 12, 2020, 02:30:08 PM »
I feel like we are due for another ABC/Wapo poll and NBC/WSJ poll... manifesting that either of those come tonight/tomorrow
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,532
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1099 on: September 12, 2020, 03:17:03 PM »
Looks like we are getting a Quinnipiac South Carolina poll.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 39 40 41 42 43 [44] 45 46 47 48 49 ... 99  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.099 seconds with 13 queries.