What would the senate and presidential map look like if this was the house map?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 18, 2025, 10:17:05 PM
News: Election Calculator 3.0 with county/house maps is now live. For more info, click here

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  What would the senate and presidential map look like if this was the house map?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: What would the senate and presidential map look like if this was the house map?  (Read 551 times)
🥥🌴
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,373
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 20, 2019, 06:53:59 AM »

AK flips to Independent
AZ-06 flips to Democrats
CA-22, CA-42, CA-50 flips to Democrats
CO-2 flips to Democrats
GA-7 flips to Democrats
IA-4 flips to Democrats
IL-13 flips to Democrats
KS-2 flips to Democrats
KY-6 flips to Democrats
MN-7 flips to Republicans
MO-2 flips to Democrats
NC-9 flips to Democrats
NE-3 flips to Democrats
NY-1, NY-2 and NY-27 flips to Democrats
PA-1 flips to Democrats
TX-2, TX-10, TX-21, TX-22, TX-23, TX-24, TX-31 flips to Democrats
WA-3 flips to Democrats



259 - 174 - 1
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,984
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2019, 06:55:53 AM »

In any scenario where the Democrats pick-up KY-6, CO-3 or TX-2, Peterson wins easily.
Logged
NeverAgainsSock
Rookie
**
Posts: 166
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2019, 07:22:57 AM »

I believe, this is, as the kids say, a "nut" moment.

If we are winning seats like these, we're looking at D+9, 2008 equivalent, for which there would likely be pickups in AZ, CO, NC, both GA seats, ME, and maybe IA/TX, hell even Dougie is likely to be competitive.

Hard to see how Democrats do this well without a D +9 national environment though.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,101
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 20, 2019, 07:44:53 AM »

D+AZ, CO, GA, GA, IA, ME, NC, TX
D-AL

D+7 in the Senate, so 54-46 Dem. Looks like at least a 12 point landslide in the House and similarly in the presidential race looks like 395-143 EC vote.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,657
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 20, 2019, 07:55:57 AM »

I get that this forum is obsessed with OH being a safe Republican state, but there’s no way Chabot and Balderson would win reelection in a Democratic tidal wave like this.
Logged
Epaminondas
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,044


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 20, 2019, 07:30:41 PM »

This looks like a uniform +4 point wave over 2018, so D+11 in the House.
But converting to Senate seats is not straightforward due to overvoting.
It's not impossible for the GOP to cling to 51 seats even in this configuration (win AL, ME, NC, IA)

Plus, wouldn't that be 2 Indy reps? (Amash)
Logged
Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 98,544
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 20, 2019, 07:59:11 PM »



Hopefully 51/49 Senate
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 9 queries.