While we're only halfway through the decade, it does seem likely that the Bush states will be 'up' from 4 to 8 U.S. Representatives (and Electoral College votes) for the 2012 elections.
I think there's very little chance that Republicans won't gain, although Nevada and Florida flipping would benefit the Democrats.
As important a reapportionment is (particulary for the Electoral College), redistricting in more important with regards to U.S. House of Representatives seats and state legislative seats. As I noted a few months ago in a thread on another board, the growing areas within states were far more likely to support Bush than Kerry, while those areas with little (or negative) population growth were among Kerry's best areas.
Nevada is trending Democrat, but Florida is much less clear. However all the demographic gains for Republicans in fast growing states will be whiped out if Ohio flips Democrat, which considering its dire economic situation, seems likely.
