Highest certainty final predictions
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Latest 2020 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
applemanmat (L-VA)MapProfile 10-26 3 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Neptunium (I-TWN)MapProfile 11-02 1 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
DarkHorse (I-CA)MapProfile 05-16 1 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Jaxster37 (D-FL)Map 09-18 1 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
NerdyPolitico (D-AZ)Map 10-19 1 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
patd25 (D-BC)MapProfile 10-28 3 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
UlmerFudd (R-TX)MapProfile 10-28 2 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Juin (R-CO)MapProfile 11-02 4 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Wilbur84 (I-MA)MapProfile 11-02 2 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
thegoodcub (D-CA)MapProfile 01-21 1 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2020 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
fezzyfestoon (O-PA)MapProfile 11-03 1 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
rrussom1 (D-NC)MapProfile 11-03 3 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
andjey (D-UKR)MapProfile 11-03 2 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
jahiegel (D-WI)MapProfile 11-03 7 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
scutosaurus (D-GA)MapProfile 11-03 1 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
ifhgsfj (D-MD)MapProfile 11-03 1 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
K.Dobrev (O-BGR)MapProfile 11-03 1 Even 7 (0) 4 (0) 0 (0) 0
Olawakandi (G-CA)MapProfile 11-03 127 D +1 6 (-1) 5 (+1) 0 (0) 0
Castro2020 (I-CT)MapProfile 11-03 4 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Peebs (D-NC)MapProfile 11-03 1 R +1 8 (+1) 3 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2020 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: Highest certainty final predictions  (Read 893 times)
Hammy
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« on: November 01, 2020, 02:20:40 PM »
Not sure if there's a thread but I wanted to post mine, and couldn't find one, so here are some things going into election week that I'm nearly absolutely certain about.

Biden wins ME-02 (I've been certain since IRV was instituted for the presidential election)
Between TX/GA/NC, Trump will win at least one, NC being by far the most likely.
Florida's margin will be less than a point regardless of the winner
Biden has a higher chance of winning Florida, but a higher chance of getting a +2 or greater margin if he wins TX or GA than he does in FL.
Nevada and Minnesota are Titanium D (Nevada all but official now)
Iowa was never in play
Pennsylvania will be Trump's strongest Rust Belt state, Wisconsin will be Biden's. Michigan will be closer to WI than PA.
Utah and Alaska will be within 10 points.

Biden wins national PV 52-45

Bonus: Trump will challenge PA's results regardless of margin if Biden wins
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S019ian Liberal
Beacon
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 03:06:00 AM »
Pretty bold you of, I should think and say honestly. Props if you do get most of them right however!
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GoTfan
GoTfan21
Junior Chimp
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Australia


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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 03:09:07 AM »
Trump will win. If not legitimately, then it will be done by the Supreme Court siding with him on absolutely everything
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ObamaMichael
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 03:14:55 AM »
AZ goes to Biden, so does WI, MI and ME-02.
Either GA or NC goes to Biden, the other goes to Trump, effectively making Biden the winner.
FL and TX will be closer than ever, but they will ultimately go to Trump. So will OH and Iowa.
PA will possibly be closer than NC/GA but I'll say tilt-Biden for the moment.
NH, VA, NV safe D Smiley
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