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March 06, 2021, 01:37:48 AM

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  2020 Gubernatorial Predictions?
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Latest 2020 Predictions (Highest Scores)
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Author Topic: 2020 Gubernatorial Predictions?  (Read 4899 times)
President Biden
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« on: September 17, 2019, 02:38:39 PM »

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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2019, 02:44:20 PM »

I agree with all of this except maybe WV, which I would move to Lean R.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2019, 06:47:08 AM »
« Edited: November 05, 2019, 09:17:32 AM by Dave Leip »

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KaiserDave
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« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2019, 09:14:18 PM »

Vermont is Safe R, Phil will win easily. That's what I have to say mainly.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2019, 12:44:55 PM »

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2019, 08:05:07 AM »

The 2020 Gubernatorial Predictions are now open here

Composite Map:


Enjoy,
Dave
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#PACK THE COURTS
Solid4096
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« Reply #6 on: November 16, 2019, 11:14:43 PM »

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CTConservative
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« Reply #7 on: November 18, 2019, 05:27:11 PM »


Indiana is not going D, and New Hampshire is not Safe D. Montana is probably going R.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #8 on: November 18, 2019, 06:01:15 PM »

More wishful maps by Solid
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #9 on: May 15, 2020, 09:31:01 AM »



Current map with my projected margins in swing states, from most Dem to most Rep.

North Carolina: +5 Dem
Montana: +2 Rep
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2020, 02:01:34 AM »
« Edited: May 17, 2020, 02:26:45 AM by Cory Booker »

Cooney can defeat Rs in MT since Bullock will have coattails, and Libertarian party candidates in MT are on the ballot in MT. Amash dropped out
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #11 on: May 29, 2020, 05:37:45 PM »

MO: 58% Parson, 40% Galloway
MT: 51% Gianforte, 46% Democrat
NC: 54% Cooper, 44% Forest
WV: 56% Justice, 41% Democrat
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Jopow
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« Reply #12 on: June 12, 2020, 01:43:05 PM »
« Edited: June 19, 2020, 08:57:46 AM by Jopow »

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FalterinArc
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« Reply #13 on: June 27, 2020, 08:33:46 PM »

You really think Forest is going to win and Eyeman is going to keep it close? lol
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MAGugh
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« Reply #14 on: July 08, 2020, 09:30:35 PM »
« Edited: October 24, 2020, 09:51:42 PM by MAGugh »

Updated: 10/24/20

Delaware - John Carney d. Julianne Murray
Indiana - Woody Myers d. Eric Holcomb
Missouri - Nicole Galloway d. Mike Parson
Montana - Greg Gianforte d. Mike Cooney
New Hampshire - Chris Sununu d. Andru Volinsky
North Carolina - Roy Cooper d. Dan Forest
North Dakota - Doug Burgum d. Shelley Lenz
Utah - Spencer Cox d. Chris Peterson
Vermont - Phil Scott d. Rebecca Holcombe
Washington - Jay Inslee d. Phil Fortunato
West Virginia - Jim Justice d. Ben Salango
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: July 09, 2020, 06:26:20 AM »

Dems win DEL, MO, MT and NC. Parsons lead is down to 7
Rs win IN, NH, ND, UT and VT
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: August 12, 2020, 05:02:53 AM »

Safe D: DE, WA
Lean D: NC
Lean R: MT
Likely R: VT, WV
Safe R: IN, MO, NH, ND, UT

NC: 52.5% Cooper, 45.5% Forest
MT: 52.5% Gianforte, 45.5% Cooney
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #17 on: October 27, 2020, 03:02:22 AM »

Safe D: DE, WA
Lean D: NC
Lean R: MT
Likely R: VT, WV
Safe R: IN, MO, NH, ND, UT

NC: 52.5% Cooper, 45.5% Forest
MT: 52.5% Gianforte, 45.5% Cooney


Almost exactly my prediction too. Difference is minimal.
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thumb21
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2020, 08:25:56 PM »



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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2020, 09:13:03 PM »

Final Governor Prediction 2020

MT: Likely R, Gianforte 53.0%, Cooney 44.5%
NC: Lean D, Cooper 52.0%, Forest 46.0%

Everything else safe for the incumbent parties, Parson wins by double digits, making the 'Lean R' ratings look ridiculous.
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2020, 10:30:13 AM »

Missouri: +8 Parson
Montana: +3 Gianforte
North Carolina: +5 Cooper

All other races are safe.

Cya on the other side, folks.
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #21 on: November 08, 2020, 09:12:07 PM »

Missouri: +8 Parson   Actual: +16.6 Parson
Montana: +3 Gianforte   Actual: +12.8 Gianforte
North Carolina: +5 Cooper   Actual:  +4.4 Cooper

Now these ones I just did terribly on! One out of three. That's why I should stick to senate/presidential forecasts. 😂
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