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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections
  2020 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  NC-Sen Cunningham leads 42% to 41% over Tillis
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Author Topic: NC-Sen Cunningham leads 42% to 41% over Tillis  (Read 445 times)
Zaybay
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« on: September 16, 2019, 05:31:27 pm »

Part of the series of polls done by AARP

https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey-annotated-questionnaire-NC.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00335.005.pdf
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2019, 05:46:11 pm »

North Carolina is a state where pollsters tend to slightly overestimate Democrats as there is still some old Dixiecrat vote in some areas of the state, but it seems apparent that Tillis's approval isn't impressive and he'll be tied down to whatever Trump gets or even worse. But all these polls are kinda junky anyway.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2019, 05:50:12 pm »

Not good to trail a guy with 9% name recognition, with the caveat that this is a sketchy pollster
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Make America Malarkey Free Again
xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2019, 06:58:51 pm »

Not totally unbelievable, though not the best pollster.
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Cory Booker
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2019, 07:00:42 pm »

Down with Tillis
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #5 on: September 16, 2019, 08:14:41 pm »

North Carolina is a state where pollsters tend to slightly overestimate Democrats as there is still some old Dixiecrat vote in some areas of the state, but it seems apparent that Tillis's approval isn't impressive and he'll be tied down to whatever Trump gets or even worse. But all these polls are kinda junky anyway.

True, but it's becoming pretty clear between Tillis' primary troubles and Collins holding onto >50% double digit margins that the Dem senate path is CO+AZ+NC+ win the GA open seat outright in November (if winning the presidential race) or get close enough to force runoffs in both GA seats and win them in January on differential base turnout (after a Trump reelection).  This assumes AL is gone.

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