ME-Sen Collins Leads 52% to 35% Over Gideon

[Frenchrepublican]

Better than I would have expected

[Frenchrepublican]

Among voters who have heard of both candidates, Collins leads 47/44.

Because these voters are disproportionately democrat compared to the general electorate.

[Frenchrepublican]

Awful numbers for Collins this far out.

A 17 point margin is “awful”?

Only has support of 52% while 73% have no idea who Gideon is.

Casey is polling at 47%.... it must mean that Barletta is at 53% ?

[Frenchrepublican]

This poll is unerringly reminiscent of one that I remember seeing on here a few months or so before the elections last year, showing Joe Manchin leading Patrick Morrisey by something like 51-38%. And we saw how that turned out. I wouldn't be surprised if Collins ends up winning by a narrow 52-48 or 51-49 margin when all is said and done. Even though it's a year out, I think this poll might be a foreshadow of what is to come.

The difference is that Maine is far more R friendly than WV is D friendly.

[Frenchrepublican]

This poll is unerringly reminiscent of one that I remember seeing on here a few months or so before the elections last year, showing Joe Manchin leading Patrick Morrisey by something like 51-38%. And we saw how that turned out. I wouldn't be surprised if Collins ends up winning by a narrow 52-48 or 51-49 margin when all is said and done. Even though it's a year out, I think this poll might be a foreshadow of what is to come.

The difference is that Maine is far more R friendly than WV is D friendly.

Yes, I'm aware of that. The similarity lies in the fact that Collins will probably be held to a narrow victory (around 3% or so), like Manchin was, and that she will collapse from her prior landslide victories, like Manchin did.

When all the dust will have settled, I expect she will win 51/47